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In the Wake of Redfin Corporation's (NASDAQ:RDFN) Latest US$55m Market Cap Drop, Institutional Owners May Be Forced to Take Severe Actions

レッドフィン株式会社(ナスダック:RDFN)の最新の5500万ドルの時価総額の減少を受けて、機関投資家は厳しい対応を迫られるかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  12/13 03:38

Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Redfin implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

If you want to know who really controls Redfin Corporation (NASDAQ:RDFN), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 62% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's share price fell by 4.6% last week. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 5.4% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the downtrend continues, institutions may face pressures to sell Redfin, which might have negative implications on individual investors.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Redfin.

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NasdaqGS:RDFN Ownership Breakdown December 13th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Redfin?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

We can see that Redfin does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Redfin's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

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NasdaqGS:RDFN Earnings and Revenue Growth December 13th 2024

Institutional investors own over 50% of the company, so together than can probably strongly influence board decisions. Redfin is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is The Vanguard Group, Inc. with 14% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 7.6% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 2.4% by the third-largest shareholder. Furthermore, CEO Glenn Kelman is the owner of 1.2% of the company's shares.

Our studies suggest that the top 25 shareholders collectively control less than half of the company's shares, meaning that the company's shares are widely disseminated and there is no dominant shareholder.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Redfin

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can report that insiders do own shares in Redfin Corporation. The insiders have a meaningful stake worth US$52m. Most would see this as a real positive. If you would like to explore the question of insider alignment, you can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 33% stake in Redfin. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Redfin (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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