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Shanghai Golden Union Commercial Management Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603682) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

上海ゴールデンユニオン商業管理株式会社(SHSE:603682)は上昇傾向ですが、財務の見通しはかなり弱いようです:この株は高すぎるのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  12/14 06:30

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd (SHSE:603682) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 55% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd is:

2.1% = CN¥23m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.1% ROE

As you can see, Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 3.8%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 21% seen by Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

Furthermore, even when compared to the industry, which has been shrinking its earnings at a rate of 11% over the last few years, we found that Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's performance is pretty disappointing, as it suggests that the company has been shrunk its earnings at a rate faster than the industry.

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SHSE:603682 Past Earnings Growth December 13th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's high three-year median payout ratio of 178% suggests that the company is depleting its resources to keep up its dividend payments, and this shows in its shrinking earnings. Paying a dividend higher than reported profits is not a sustainable move. Our risks dashboard should have the 4 risks we have identified for Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd.

In addition, Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd has been paying dividends over a period of four years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd. Particularly, its ROE is a huge disappointment, not to mention its lack of proper reinvestment into the business. As a result its earnings growth has also been quite disappointing. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Shanghai Golden Union Commercial ManagementLtd's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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