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Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002553) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

江蘇南方精密株式会社(SZSE:002553)は順調ですが、ファンダメンタルズは混在しているようです。株価には明確な方向性がありますか。

Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/17 22:24

Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd (SZSE:002553) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 65% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd is:

4.2% = CN¥51m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.04.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.2% ROE

As you can see, Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.3%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 21% seen by Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.3% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

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SZSE:002553 Past Earnings Growth December 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%) which is pretty normal, Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Additionally, Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Jiangsu NanFang PrecisionLtd.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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