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Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688103) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

昆山国立電子テクノロジー株式会社(SHSE:688103)の株価は急騰していますが、財務状況は一貫していないようです。この上昇傾向は続くのでしょうか。

Simply Wall St ·  12/18 11:41

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology (SHSE:688103) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 43% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology is:

3.5% = CN¥39m ÷ CN¥1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's Earnings Growth And 3.5% ROE

It is quite clear that Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.4%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 15% seen by Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

However, when we compared Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 10% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

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SHSE:688103 Past Earnings Growth December 18th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 34% (where it is retaining 66% of its profits), Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Only recently, Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology stated paying a dividend. This likely means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders have a strong preference for dividends.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Kunshan GuoLi Electronic Technology's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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