Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688320) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Hechuan Technology Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had CN¥312.1m of debt, up from CN¥196.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥114.9m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥197.1m.
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology had liabilities of CN¥682.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥54.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥114.9m and CN¥729.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥108.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This state of affairs indicates that Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥7.06b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, Zhejiang Hechuan Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥875m, which is a fall of 22%. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Zhejiang Hechuan Technology's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥115m at the EBIT level. Looking on the brighter side, the business has adequate liquid assets, which give it time to grow and develop before its debt becomes a near-term issue. Still, we'd be more encouraged to study the business in depth if it already had some free cash flow. This one is a bit too risky for our liking. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Hechuan Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.