The Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002693) share price has softened a substantial 30% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Of course, over the longer-term many would still wish they owned shares as the stock's price has soared 182% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.7x, you may still consider Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals as a stock to avoid entirely with its 47.9x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 30%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 45% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 201% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals' P/S
Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals' shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceuticals.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.