BOE Varitronix Limited (HKG:710) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 7.8% isn't as impressive.
Following the firm bounce in price, BOE Varitronix may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.3x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
BOE Varitronix hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think BOE Varitronix's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is BOE Varitronix's Growth Trending?
BOE Varitronix's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 184% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why BOE Varitronix is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
The large bounce in BOE Varitronix's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that BOE Varitronix maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for BOE Varitronix with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than BOE Varitronix. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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