Passive investing in index funds can generate returns that roughly match the overall market. But investors can boost returns by picking market-beating companies to own shares in. For example, the Shanxi Securities Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002500) share price is up 24% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 8.3% (not including dividends). So that should have shareholders smiling. The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 1.1% higher than it was three years ago.
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Shanxi Securities investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's one-year performance.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During the last year Shanxi Securities grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 70%. This EPS growth is significantly higher than the 24% increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Shanxi Securities as it was before. This could be an opportunity.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Shanxi Securities has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Shanxi Securities will grow revenue in the future.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Shanxi Securities, it has a TSR of 27% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
It's nice to see that Shanxi Securities shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 27% over the last year. And that does include the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.4% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanxi Securities you should know about.
Of course Shanxi Securities may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.