Fed Minutes: Majority of Members Supported a 50 BP Cut
Fed Minutes: Majority of Members Supported a 50 BP Cut
In the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee minutes released Wednesday, several participants in the meeting said a 25 basis point cut would be a more gradual and predictable "path of normalization." Still, the majority of participants voted for a 50 bp cut.
在周三发布的美联储公开市场委员会会议记录中,有几位会议参与者表示,降息25个基点将是更渐进和可预测的"正常化路径"。然而,大多数与会者投票支持降息50个基点。
"A substantial majority of participants supported lowering the target range for the federal funds rate by 50 basis points to 4-3/4 to 5 percent," the minutes read.
“绝大多数与会者支持将联邦基金利率目标范围下调50个基点至4-3/4至5%,”记录中写道。
The FOMC meeting looked at CME FedWatch Futures Feder Funds Rate cut predictions and noted that as of a week before, a 50 BP cut was priced in as more likely. The FOMC surveys market makers in the Open Market Desk's Survey of Primary Dealers and Survey of Market Participants. In September's survey, respondents had not changed their median economic outlook or rate cut expectations- most expected moderate growth and a 25 bp cut. But, the median unemployment rate in the survey rose.
FOMC会议关注CME FedWatch期货联邦基金利率降息预测,并指出一个星期前市场更倾向于50基点降息。FOMC调查了开放市场办公室主要经销商调查和市场参与者调查中的做市商。在9月的调查中,受访者没有改变其经济前景或降息预期-大多数人预计经济将适度增长,利率降低25个基点。但是,调查中的失业率中值上升。
In the community economic outlook, the staff forecasted worse economic activity for the remainder of the year based on softening labor market conditions. The staff "marked down" its economic growth forecast based on softer-than-expected labor market growth.
在社区经济展望中,工作人员预测今年余下时间的经济活动将恶化,原因是劳动力市场状况的恶化。工作人员根据劳动力市场增长低于预期的情况下调其经济增长预测。“
The meeting also covered briefly the Japan "Carry Trade" volatility event, where financial institutions were borrowing money and trading equities under the low interest rate Japanese yen, and were startled when the Bank of Japan raised its rates and signaled it would raise again in the future.
会议还简要讨论了日本"套利交易"的波动事件,金融机构在以低利率日币借款并交易股票,当日本银行提高利率并暗示将在未来再次提高时,感到震惊。