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Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings (SZSE:000505) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  2022/09/01 08:50

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000505) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hainan Jingliang Holdings

What Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had CN¥1.78b in debt in June 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥830.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥950.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysisSZSE:000505 Debt to Equity History September 1st 2022

How Strong Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had liabilities of CN¥3.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥129.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥830.9m and CN¥230.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥2.52b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Hainan Jingliang Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥5.88b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hainan Jingliang Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Pleasingly, Hainan Jingliang Holdings is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 195% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Hainan Jingliang Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hainan Jingliang Holdings reported free cash flow worth 14% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Hainan Jingliang Holdings's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Hainan Jingliang Holdings is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Hainan Jingliang Holdings's earnings per share history for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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