The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hainan Jingliang Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000505) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Hainan Jingliang Holdings
How Much Debt Does Hainan Jingliang Holdings Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, Hainan Jingliang Holdings had CN¥1.93b of debt, up from CN¥1.54b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.12b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥804.9m.
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-17488330-0-59823b918ffbe4bc67fb50383ca8074f.png/big)
SZSE:000505 Debt to Equity History December 6th 2022
How Strong Is Hainan Jingliang Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hainan Jingliang Holdings had liabilities of CN¥2.86b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥307.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.12b as well as receivables valued at CN¥408.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Hainan Jingliang Holdings is worth CN¥6.10b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Hainan Jingliang Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Unfortunately, Hainan Jingliang Holdings's EBIT flopped 13% over the last four quarters. If that sort of decline is not arrested, then the managing its debt will be harder than selling broccoli flavoured ice-cream for a premium. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Hainan Jingliang Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Hainan Jingliang Holdings actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
Neither Hainan Jingliang Holdings's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Hainan Jingliang Holdings's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Hainan Jingliang Holdings, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
由伯克希尔哈撒韦的Li·芒格支持的外部基金经理Lu直言不讳地说,最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。当我们考虑一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢看它对债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致破产。重要的是海南京亮控股有限公司。(SZSE:000505)确实有债务。但股东是否应该担心它的债务使用情况?
什么时候债务是个问题?
债务是帮助企业发展的一种工具,但如果一家企业无法偿还贷款人的债务,那么它就只能听从贷款人的摆布。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法定义务,股东可能会一无所有地离开。然而,更常见(但代价仍然高昂)的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股票,永久性地稀释股东的股份,只是为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处是,它往往代表着廉价资本,特别是当它用能够以高回报率进行再投资的能力取代公司的稀释时。在考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
查看我们对海南景亮控股的最新分析
海南景亮控股背负着多少债务?
如下所示,截至2022年9月底,海南景亮控股的债务为19.3亿元人民币,高于一年前的15.4亿元人民币。单击图像了解更多详细信息。另一方面,它拥有11.2亿加元的现金,导致净债务约为8.049亿加元。
![debt-equity-history-analysis](https://usnewsfile.futunn.com/pic/0-17488330-0-59823b918ffbe4bc67fb50383ca8074f.png/big)
深交所:000505债转股历史2022年12月6日
海南景亮控股的资产负债表有多强?
最新的资产负债表数据显示,海南景亮控股有28.6亿元人民币的负债在一年内到期,3.077亿元的负债在一年内到期。为了抵消这些债务,该公司有11.2亿加元的现金以及价值4.082亿加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额为人民币16.4亿元,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。
这一赤字并不是那么糟糕,因为海南京良控股价值人民币61亿元,因此如果需要的话,可能会筹集到足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表。然而,仍值得密切关注其偿债能力。
我们通过查看公司的净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA),并计算其息税前收益(EBIT)覆盖利息支出(利息覆盖)的容易程度,来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力的关系。这样,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量,也考虑了为其支付的利率。
海南景亮控股的净债务与EBITDA之比约为2.2,这表明其仅适度使用债务。而其1k倍的强大利息覆盖,让我们更加舒心。不幸的是,海南京良控股的息税前利润在过去四个季度暴跌了13%。如果这种下降得不到遏制,那么管理其债务将比溢价销售西兰花口味的冰淇淋更难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但海南京良控股的盈利将影响未来资产负债表的表现。因此,如果你热衷于了解更多关于它的收益,可能值得查看一下它的长期收益趋势图。
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,有必要检查这笔息税前利润中有多少是由自由现金流支持的。考虑到最近三年,海南景亮控股实际上整体上录得了现金流出。在自由现金流为负的公司手中,债务通常更昂贵,风险也几乎总是更高。股东们应该希望情况有所改善。
我们的观点
无论是海南京良控股将息税前利润转换为自由现金流的能力,还是息税前利润的增长率,都让我们对其承担更多债务的能力失去了信心。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松地用息税前利润来弥补利息支出。综合上述因素,我们确实认为海南京亮控股的债务对业务构成了一些风险。因此,尽管杠杆率确实提高了股本回报率,但我们并不真的希望看到它从现在开始增加。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,所以如果你对海南京良控股感兴趣,你可能很想点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。
如果你对一家增长迅速、资产负债表坚如磐石的公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金成长型股票清单。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。