PPS International (Holdings) Limited (HKG:8201) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 26% over that time.
Even after such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may still consider PPS International (Holdings) as an attractive investment with its 5.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
For instance, PPS International (Holdings)'s receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for PPS International (Holdings)
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SEHK:8201 Price Based on Past Earnings December 14th 2022 Although there are no analyst estimates available for PPS International (Holdings), take a look at this
free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, PPS International (Holdings) would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 62%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 40% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that PPS International (Holdings)'s P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
PPS International (Holdings)'s stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of PPS International (Holdings) revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for PPS International (Holdings) (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than PPS International (Holdings). If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
PPS国际(集团)有限公司(HKG:8201)股价经历了令人印象深刻的一个月,在经历了一段不稳定的时期后上涨了31%。不幸的是,上个月的收益几乎没有弥补去年的损失,该股在此期间仍下跌了26%。
即使在股价大幅上涨之后,考虑到香港近一半的公司的市盈率(或“市盈率”)超过9倍,你可能仍会认为PPS International(Holdings)5.5倍的市盈率是一项有吸引力的投资。尽管如此,仅仅以面值来看待市盈率是不明智的,因为可能会有一个解释为什么它是有限的。
例如,PPS International(Holdings)近期收益的下滑肯定值得深思。一种可能性是市盈率较低,因为投资者认为该公司在不久的将来不会采取足够的措施来避免表现逊于大盘。然而,如果这不是最终的结果,那么现有股东可能对该公司股价的未来走势感到乐观。
查看我们对PPS International(Holdings)的最新分析
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联交所:8201按过往盈利计算价格2022年12月14日虽然没有分析师对PPS International(Holdings)的估计,但请看这一点
免费丰富的数据可视化,看看公司的收益、收入和现金流是如何堆积的。
增长是否与低市盈率相匹配?
为了证明其市盈率是合理的,PPS国际(控股)需要产生落后于市场的低迷增长。
如果我们回顾过去一年的收益,令人沮丧的是,该公司的利润下降了62%。这意味着它的长期收益也出现了下滑,因为每股收益在过去三年里总共下降了40%。因此,股东们会对中期盈利增长率感到悲观。
将这一中期收益轨迹与大盘一年增长17%的预期进行比较,可以看出这是一个令人不快的前景。
有鉴于此,PPS International(Holdings)的市盈率将低于大多数其他公司是可以理解的。然而,我们认为,收益缩水不太可能导致长期稳定的市盈率,这可能会让股东们未来感到失望。即使只是维持这样的价格也可能很难实现,因为最近的盈利趋势已经在拖累股价。
关键的外卖
PPS International(Holdings)的股票可能得到了强劲的提振,但其市盈率肯定没有达到任何很高的水平。通常情况下,我们在决定投资决策时会告诫人们不要过度解读市盈率,尽管它可以充分揭示其他市场参与者对该公司的看法。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,我们对PPS International(Holdings)的调查显示,鉴于市场将会增长,其中期收益缩水是导致其市盈率较低的原因之一。目前,股东们正在接受低市盈率,因为他们承认,未来的收益可能不会带来任何令人愉快的惊喜。如果近期的中期盈利趋势继续下去,在这种情况下,很难看到股价在不久的将来向任何一个方向强劲移动。
还有其他重要的风险因素需要考虑,我们发现PPS国际(控股)的4个警告标志(1是关于!)在这里投资之前你应该意识到这一点。
你也许能找到比PPS国际(控股)更好的投资。如果您想要选择可能的候选人,请查看以下内容免费令人感兴趣的市盈率低于20倍的公司名单(但已证明它们可以增加收益)。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。