Chuanglian Holdings Limited (HKG:2371) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 43% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 51% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Chuanglian Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Chuanglian Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Chuanglian Holdings
SEHK:2371 Price Based on Past Earnings December 20th 2022 We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Chuanglian Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Chuanglian Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 358%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Chuanglian Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
Despite Chuanglian Holdings' shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Chuanglian Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Chuanglian Holdings (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Chuanglian Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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