We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Spare a thought for those who held Harbin Bank Co., Ltd. (HKG:6138) for five whole years - as the share price tanked 85%. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 60% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 31% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. While a drop like that is definitely a body blow, money isn't as important as health and happiness.
Since Harbin Bank has shed HK$660m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
View our latest analysis for Harbin Bank
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
We know that Harbin Bank has been profitable in the past. However, it made a loss in the last twelve months, suggesting profit may be an unreliable metric at this stage. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
Arguably, the revenue drop of 17% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
SEHK:6138 Earnings and Revenue Growth December 20th 2022
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 12% in the twelve months, Harbin Bank shareholders did even worse, losing 60%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 13% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Harbin Bank .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
我們絕對喜歡長期投資,但一些公司在任何時間範圍內都是糟糕的投資。我們真的不願看到其他投資者失去他們的血汗錢。想一想那些持有哈爾濱銀行股份有限公司(HKG:6138)整整五年--股價暴跌85%。我們懷疑長期投資者是唯一憂心忡忡的持有者,因為股價在過去12個月裡下跌了60%。此外,它在大約四分之一的時間裡下跌了31%。對於持有者來說,這並不是什麼樂趣。雖然像這樣的下降絕對是對身體的打擊,但金錢並不像健康和幸福那麼重要。
由於哈爾濱銀行在過去7天裡市值縮水6.6億港元,讓我們看看較長期的下跌是否是由企業的經濟狀況推動的。
查看我們對哈爾濱銀行的最新分析
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
我們知道哈爾濱銀行過去一直是盈利的。然而,它在過去12個月裡出現了虧損,這表明在這個階段利潤可能是一個不可靠的指標。其他指標或許能更好地解釋股價走勢。
可以說,營收連續五年以每年17%的速度下滑表明,該公司無法實現長期增長。這可能解釋了股價疲軟的原因。
下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細資訊)。
聯交所:6138盈利及收入增長2022年12月20日
資產負債表的強健至關重要。也許很值得一看我們的免費報告其財務狀況如何隨著時間的推移而發生變化。
不同的視角
雖然大盤在過去12個月裡下跌了約12%,但哈爾濱銀行股東的表現更糟,下跌了60%。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本面的發展。令人遺憾的是,去年的業績為糟糕的表現畫上了句號,股東們在五年內面臨著每年13%的總虧損。一般來說,股價長期疲軟可能是一個壞信號,儘管反向投資者可能會希望研究這只股票,希望它能好轉。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。為此,您應該意識到1個警告標誌我們已經發現了哈爾濱銀行。
如果你喜歡和管理層一起買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這本書免費公司名單。(提示:內部人士一直在買入這些股票)。
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫。或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性。我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議。它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況。我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉。