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Earnings Growth of 174% Over 1 Year Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (SGX:JYEU) Shareholders

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6, 2023 18:42

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (SGX:JYEU) share price slid 17% over twelve months. That falls noticeably short of the market decline of around 1.8%. Zooming out, the stock is down 16% in the last three years. Even worse, it's down 9.5% in about a month, which isn't fun at all. However, we note the price may have been impacted by the broader market, which is down 4.9% in the same time period.

After losing 4.3% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

See our latest analysis for Lendlease Global Commercial REIT

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Even though the Lendlease Global Commercial REIT share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. So it's easy to justify a look at some other metrics.

Lendlease Global Commercial REIT's dividend seems healthy to us, so we doubt that the yield is a concern for the market. The revenue trend doesn't seem to explain why the share price is down. Of course, it could simply be that it simply fell short of the market consensus expectations.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:JYEU Earnings and Revenue Growth March 6th 2023

It is of course excellent to see how Lendlease Global Commercial REIT has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. This free interactive report on Lendlease Global Commercial REIT's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Lendlease Global Commercial REIT the TSR over the last 1 year was -9.2%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

The last twelve months weren't great for Lendlease Global Commercial REIT shares, which cost holders 9.2%, including dividends, while the market was up about 1.8%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Fortunately the longer term story is brighter, with total returns averaging about 1.0% per year over three years. The recent sell-off could be an opportunity if the business remains sound, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long-term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (3 can't be ignored) that you should be aware of.

But note: Lendlease Global Commercial REIT may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on SG exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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