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Is Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd (SHSE:900936) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd (SHSE:900936) Using Too Much Debt?

内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司(SHSE: 900936)是否使用了过多的债务?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/04/15 21:01

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Inner Mongolia ERDOS Resources Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:900936) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看出来 内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司,有限公司 (SHSE: 900936)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

当企业无法轻易履行这些义务时,无论是通过自由现金流还是以诱人的价格筹集资金,债务和其他负债就会面临风险。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法向债权人付款,它可能会破产。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,这样才能控制债务。当然,债务可能是企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。当我们考虑公司对债务的使用时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务。

See our latest analysis for Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd

查看我们对内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的最新分析

What Is Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd's Net Debt?

内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的净负债是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd had CN¥8.77b of debt in December 2022, down from CN¥12.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.49b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.27b.

你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司在2022年12月的债务为87.7亿元人民币,低于一年前的124亿元人民币。另一方面,它拥有54.9亿元人民币的现金,净负债约为32.7亿元人民币。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:900936 Debt to Equity History April 16th 2023
SHSE: 900936 债务转股历史记录 2023 年 4 月 16 日

How Strong Is Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd's Balance Sheet?

内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的资产负债表有多强?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd had liabilities of CN¥16.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.32b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.49b in cash and CN¥2.06b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥14.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据最近公布的资产负债表,内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司在12个月内到期的负债为166亿元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为53.2亿元人民币。抵消这一点的是,它有54.9亿元的现金和20.6亿元人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多出144亿元人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥29.5b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

尽管这可能看起来很多,但还不错,因为内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的市值为295亿元人民币,因此,如果需要,它可能会通过筹集资金来加强资产负债表。但是我们肯定想睁大眼睛看看有迹象表明其债务带来了太大风险。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。因此,我们将债务与收益的关系考虑在内,包括和不包括折旧和摊销费用。

Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd has net debt of just 0.33 times EBITDA, suggesting it could ramp leverage without breaking a sweat. And remarkably, despite having net debt, it actually received more in interest over the last twelve months than it had to pay. So it's fair to say it can handle debt like a hotshot teppanyaki chef handles cooking. It is just as well that Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 22% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的净负债仅为息税折旧摊销前利润的0.33倍,这表明它可以在不费吹灰之力的情况下提高杠杆率。值得注意的是,尽管有净负债,但它在过去十二个月中获得的利息实际上超过了必须支付的利息。因此,可以公平地说,它可以像炙手可热的铁板烧厨师处理烹饪一样处理债务。同样地,内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的负担并不太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了22%。收益下降(如果这种趋势继续下去)最终也可能使即使是适度的债务也相当危险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的收益。因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得关注收益趋势。点击此处查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,尽管税务人员可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款人只接受冷硬现金。因此,我们总是检查息税前利润中有多少转化为自由现金流。在过去三年中,内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司产生的自由现金流实际上超过了息税前利润。在保持贷款人的好感方面,没有什么比收到的现金更好的了。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Inner Mongolia ERDOS ResourcesLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

根据我们所见,考虑到息税前利润的增长率,内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司并不容易,但我们考虑的其他因素使我们有理由感到乐观。特别是,它的利息封面让我们眼花缭乱。当我们考虑上述所有因素时,在我们看来,内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司的债务管理得很好。话虽如此,负担已经足够沉重了,我们建议任何股东密切关注。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表内——远非如此。例如-内蒙古鄂尔多斯资源有限公司有 1 个警告标志 我们认为你应该知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是一般性的。 我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未将最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。简而言之,华尔街对上述任何股票都没有头寸。

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