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We Think Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (SHSE:900934) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (SHSE:900934) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我們認爲上海錦江國際酒店(SHSE: 900934)可以繼續償還債務
Simply Wall St ·  2023/05/05 20:27

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd. (SHSE:900934) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人說,作爲投資者,波動性而不是債務是考慮風險的最佳方式,但沃倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的同義詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,聰明的人似乎知道債務(通常與破產有關)是一個非常重要的因素。和許多其他公司一樣 上海錦江國際酒店有限公司 (上海證券交易所:900934)利用債務。但是股東們是否應該擔心它對債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的重要部分是 “創造性破壞” 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更頻繁(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可能是企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。考慮公司債務水平的第一步是將其現金和債務放在一起考慮。

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels

查看我們對上海錦江國際酒店的最新分析

What Is Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels's Net Debt?

上海錦江國際酒店的淨負債是多少?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels had CN¥15.1b in debt in March 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥7.90b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥7.15b.

您可以點擊下圖瞭解更多詳情,該圖表顯示,上海錦江國際酒店在 2023 年 3 月的債務爲 151 億元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。但是,它也有79.0億元人民幣的現金,因此其淨負債爲71.5億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:900934 Debt to Equity History May 6th 2023
SHSE: 900934 債轉股歷史記錄 2023 年 5 月 6 日

How Strong Is Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels' Balance Sheet?

上海錦江國際酒店的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels had liabilities of CN¥12.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥18.5b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.90b in cash and CN¥2.72b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥20.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,上海錦江國際酒店在一年內到期的負債爲124億元人民幣,在此之後的到期負債爲185億元人民幣。抵消了這一點,它有79.0億元的現金和272億元人民幣的應收賬款,這些應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出203億元人民幣。

This deficit isn't so bad because Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels is worth CN¥49.5b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

這種赤字還不算嚴重,因爲上海錦江國際酒店的價值爲495億元人民幣,因此,如果有需要,很可能籌集到足夠的資金來支撐其資產負債表。但是,仍然值得仔細研究其償還債務的能力。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這種方法的優勢在於,我們既考慮了債務的絕對數量(包括淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤),也考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(及其利息覆蓋率)。

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.3, it's fair to say Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 2.7 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Looking on the bright side, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels boosted its EBIT by a silky 64% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

淨負債與息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比率爲5.3,可以公平地說,上海錦江國際酒店確實有大量債務。但好消息是,它擁有相當令人欣慰的2.7倍的利息保障,這表明它可以負責任地履行其義務。從好的方面來看,上海錦江國際酒店去年將其息稅前利潤提高了64%。就像母親對新生兒的愛心擁抱一樣,這種增長可以增強韌性,使公司更有能力管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,該業務未來的盈利能力將決定上海錦江國際酒店能否隨着時間的推移加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究息稅前利潤是否帶來了相應的自由現金流。在過去的兩年中,上海錦江國際酒店產生的自由現金流實際上超過了息稅前利潤。在保持貸款人的好感方面,沒有甚麼比收到的現金更好的了。

Our View

我們的觀點

The good news is that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its net debt to EBITDA. All these things considered, it appears that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

好消息是,上海錦江國際酒店表現出的將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流的能力讓我們感到高興,就像毛茸茸的小狗對待幼兒一樣。但嚴峻的事實是,我們對其淨負債佔息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的比例感到擔憂。考慮到所有這些因素,看來上海錦江國際酒店可以輕鬆應付其目前的債務水平。當然,儘管這種槓桿可以提高股本回報率,但它確實帶來了更多的風險,因此值得關注這個槓桿作用。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了 上海錦江國際酒店的 2 個警告標誌 (1 是令人擔憂的)你應該知道。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是一般性的。 我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章無意提供財務建議。 它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未將最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料考慮在內。簡而言之,華爾街對上述任何股票都沒有頭寸。

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