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Improving Individual Investor Sentiment

Improving Individual Investor Sentiment

改善个人投资者情绪
Seeking Alpha ·  2019/11/08 10:03

Summary

摘要

Bullish investor sentiment improved 6.3 percentage points to 40.3% from the prior week's reported level as noted by the American Association of Individual Investors.
美国个人投资者协会(American Association Of Personal Investors)指出,看涨的投资者情绪比前一周报告的水平提高了6.3个百分点,达到40.3%。

Individual investor sentiment is certainly reacting positively to the upward trend in the equity markets.
个人投资者的情绪肯定对股市的上升趋势做出了积极的反应。

Yet the current bullishness level only falls in the middle of a range of plus or minus one standard deviation of the average bullishness level.
然而,目前的看涨水平仅落在平均看涨水平的正负一个标准差区间的中间。

Bullish investor sentiment improved 6.3 percentage points to 40.3% from the prior week's reported level as noted by the American Association of Individual Investors. This is the highest bullishness level since the May 9 reading of 43.1%. Individual investor sentiment is certainly reacting positively to the upward trend in the equity markets, yet the current bullishness level only falls in the middle of a range of plus or minus one standard deviation of the average bullishness level. Due to the fact the weekly readings can be volatile, one should evaluate a moving average of the bullishness level, and in this case, the eight-period moving average. This eight-period average remains at a low 31.2%.

看涨的投资者情绪比前一周报告的水平提高了6.3个百分点,达到40.3%,这是由美国个人投资者协会。这是5月9日读数43.1%以来的最高看涨水平。个人投资者情绪肯定对股市的上升趋势做出了积极反应,但目前的看涨水平只落在平均看涨水平的正负一个标准差的中间。由于周度读数可能会波动,人们应该评估看涨水平的移动平均线,在这种情况下,是8期移动平均线。这八个时期的均值维持在31.2%的低位。

saupload_sentiment_2B11_2B7_2B2019.png

The jump higher in the bullishness level is also impacting the bull/bear spread which equals 16.4 in this week's reading. The long-term average for the bull/bear spread is 5.3 percentage points.

看涨水平的上升也影响了牛熊价差,在本周的读数中,牛熊价差等于16.4。牛/熊价差的长期平均值为5.3个百分点。

saupload_bull_2Bbear_2Bspread_2B11_2B7_2B2019.png

The sentiment measures are contrarian ones and tend to be most actionable at their extremes. With this noted, the current bullish sentiment level is not at an extreme; however, investors will want to keep an eye on individual investor sentiment as the recent equity market move seems to be having a favorable impact on individual investors.

情绪指标是反向的,在极端情况下往往最具可操作性。有了这一点,目前的看涨情绪水平并不是极端的;然而,投资者将希望密切关注个人投资者的情绪,因为最近的股市走势似乎对个人投资者产生了有利的影响。

Editor's Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.

编者按:本文的摘要项目符号是由寻求Alpha编辑选择的。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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