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Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000019) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?

Simply Wall St ·  Jul 31, 2023 22:32

Most readers would already be aware that Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's (SZSE:000019) stock increased significantly by 9.8% over the past month. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. In this article, we decided to focus on Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd is:

7.8% = CN¥387m ÷ CN¥4.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.08.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.8% ROE

When you first look at it, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 8.1%, we may spare it some thought. Having said that, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's net income growth over the past five years is more or less flat. Bear in mind, the company's ROE is not very high. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

As a next step, we compared Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 3.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000019 Past Earnings Growth August 1st 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd has a high three-year median payout ratio of 67% (or a retention ratio of 33%), meaning that the company is paying most of its profits as dividends to its shareholders. This does go some way in explaining why there's been no growth in its earnings.

Moreover, Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Summary

In total, we would have a hard think before deciding on any investment action concerning Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Until now, we have only just grazed the surface of the company's past performance by looking at the company's fundamentals. To gain further insights into Shenzhen Cereals HoldingsLtd's past profit growth, check out this visualization of past earnings, revenue and cash flows.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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