share_log

Investors Can Find Comfort In Cachet Pharmaceutical's (SZSE:002462) Earnings Quality

投資家はCachet Pharmaceutical(SZSE:002462)の収益の質で安心感を見出すことができます

Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/06 18:05

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Cachet Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002462) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

See our latest analysis for Cachet Pharmaceutical

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002462 Earnings and Revenue History September 6th 2023

Zooming In On Cachet Pharmaceutical's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2023, Cachet Pharmaceutical had an accrual ratio of -0.17. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥1.7b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥282.9m. Given that Cachet Pharmaceutical had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥1.7b would seem to be a step in the right direction.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Cachet Pharmaceutical.

Our Take On Cachet Pharmaceutical's Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Cachet Pharmaceutical produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Cachet Pharmaceutical's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that Cachet Pharmaceutical has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Cachet Pharmaceutical's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

これらの内容は、情報提供及び投資家教育のためのものであり、いかなる個別株や投資方法を推奨するものではありません。 更に詳しい情報
    コメントする