share_log

Investing in Wanhua Chemical Group (SHSE:600309) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 159% Gain

Investing in Wanhua Chemical Group (SHSE:600309) Five Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 159% Gain

五年前投資萬華化學集團(上海證券交易所股票代碼:600309)將爲您帶來159%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 03:51

The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For instance, the price of Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600309) stock is up an impressive 125% over the last five years. In contrast, the stock has fallen 9.7% in the last 30 days. This could be related to the soft market, with stocks down around 1.8% in the last month.

你在任何一隻股票上最多隻能損失100%的錢(假設你不使用槓桿)。但在較輕鬆的情況下,一家好公司的股價漲幅可以遠遠超過100%。例如,價格,萬華化工集團有限公司。(上海證券交易所:600309)在過去的五年裡,股票上漲了125%,令人印象深刻。相比之下,該股在過去30天裡下跌了9.7%。這可能與市場疲軟有關,股市在過去一個月下跌了1.8%左右。

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

考慮到這一點,值得關注的是,該公司的潛在基本面是長期業績的驅動力,還是存在一些差異。

See our latest analysis for Wanhua Chemical Group

查看我們對萬華化工集團的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

用巴菲特的話說,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨著時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。

During five years of share price growth, Wanhua Chemical Group actually saw its EPS drop 4.3% per year.

在股價上漲的五年中,萬華化工集團的每股收益實際上每年下降4.3%。

So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

因此,很難辯稱每股收益是衡量該公司的最佳指標,因為在這一點上,它可能沒有針對利潤進行優化。因此,有必要看看其他指標,試圖瞭解股價走勢。

The modest 1.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 24% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Wanhua Chemical Group is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

1.8%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年24%的收入增長可能被視為萬華化工集團正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,該公司可能是在犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600309 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 4th 2023
上海證交所:600309收益和收入增長2023年10月4日

Wanhua Chemical Group is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Wanhua Chemical Group will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

萬華化工集團是一隻知名的股票,有大量的分析師報道,這表明對未來的增長有一定的可見性。因此,看看分析師認為萬華化工集團未來的收入是多少是很有意義的(自由分析師共識估計)

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Wanhua Chemical Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 159%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。恰好,萬華化工集團最近5年的TSR為159%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market gained around 0.2% in the last year, Wanhua Chemical Group shareholders lost 2.3% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 21% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Wanhua Chemical Group you should be aware of.

儘管大盤去年上漲了約0.2%,但萬華化工集團的股東損失了2.3%(甚至包括股息)。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票,在12個月的時間裡,有時也會表現遜於市場。從好的方面來看,長期股東已經賺到了錢,過去五年的年回報率為21%。如果基本面數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。我發現,把股價作為衡量企業業績的長期指標是非常有趣的。但為了真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他資訊。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了萬華化工集團的3個警示標誌你應該意識到。

Of course Wanhua Chemical Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然了萬華化工集團可能不是最值得買入的股票那就是。所以你可能想看看這個免費成長型股票的集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論