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Is Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) A Risky Investment?

Is Peijia Medical (HKG:9996) A Risky Investment?

培佳医疗(HKG: 9996)是风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/04 18:54

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Peijia Medical Limited (HKG:9996) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

一些人说,作为投资者,考虑风险的最佳方式是波动性,而不是债务,但巴菲特曾说过一句名言:波动性远非风险的同义词。因此,当你评估一家公司的风险有多大时,聪明的投资者似乎知道债务--通常涉及破产--是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样沛嘉医疗有限公司(HKG:9996)利用债务。但真正的问题是,这笔债务是否让该公司面临风险。

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候债务是个问题?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

债务帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是用新资本还是用自由现金流。资本主义的一部分是“创造性破坏”的过程,破产的企业被银行家无情地清算。然而,一种更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东的股份,才能控制债务。当然,在企业中,债务可以是一个重要的工具,特别是资本密集型企业。当考虑一家企业使用了多少债务时,首先要做的是把现金和债务放在一起看。

Check out our latest analysis for Peijia Medical

查看我们对沛嘉医疗的最新分析

What Is Peijia Medical's Net Debt?

沛嘉医疗的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2023 Peijia Medical had CN¥184.1m of debt, an increase on CN¥65.0m, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.07b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥884.9m.

你可以点击下图查看历史数据,但它显示了截至2023年6月,沛嘉医疗的债务为1.841亿元人民币,比一年前增加了6500万元人民币。然而,它确实有10.7亿加元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净现金为8.849亿加元。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:9996 Debt to Equity History October 4th 2023
联交所:9996债转股历史2023年10月4日

How Healthy Is Peijia Medical's Balance Sheet?

沛嘉医疗的资产负债表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Peijia Medical had liabilities of CN¥158.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥225.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.07b as well as receivables valued at CN¥84.9m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥769.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

根据最新公布的资产负债表,沛嘉医疗有1.586亿加元的负债在12个月内到期,2.256亿加元的负债在12个月后到期。为了抵消这些债务,该公司有10.7亿加元的现金以及价值8490万加元的应收账款在12个月内到期。所以它实际上有7.697亿元人民币更多流动资产超过总负债。

This excess liquidity suggests that Peijia Medical is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Peijia Medical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Peijia Medical can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

这种过剩的流动性表明,沛嘉医疗正在谨慎处理债务问题。由于它拥有充足的资产,它不太可能与其贷款人发生麻烦。简单地说,沛嘉医疗拥有净现金,所以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定沛嘉医疗能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。

In the last year Peijia Medical wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 75%, to CN¥357m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

去年,沛嘉医疗没有实现息税前利润,但收入增长了75%,达到人民币3.57亿元。如果运气好的话,该公司将能够以增长的方式实现盈利。

So How Risky Is Peijia Medical?

那么,沛嘉医疗的风险有多大呢?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year Peijia Medical had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥942m of cash and made a loss of CN¥528m. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥884.9m. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Peijia Medical may be on a path to profitability. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Peijia Medical you should be aware of.

就其本质而言,亏损的公司比那些长期盈利的公司风险更大。说实话,去年沛嘉医疗还出现了息税前利润(EBIT)亏损。事实上,在此期间,它烧掉了9.42亿加元的现金,亏损了5.28亿加元。虽然这确实给该公司带来了一些风险,但重要的是要记住,它拥有8.849亿元的净现金。这意味着它可能会在两年多的时间里保持目前的支出速度。由于去年营收增长非常强劲,新浪沛嘉医疗可能正走上盈利之路。盈利前的公司往往存在风险,但它们也可以提供丰厚的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解到的债务最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可能包含存在于资产负债表之外的风险。一个恰当的例子:我们发现了沛嘉医疗的1个警告标志你应该意识到。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,今天就来看看我们的净现金成长型股票独家名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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