By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, the Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas Group Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:603619) share price is up 76% in the last three years, clearly besting the market decline of around 12% (not including dividends).
Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 5.2%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.
View our latest analysis for Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
During three years of share price growth, Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd moved from a loss to profitability. So we would expect a higher share price over the period.
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
![earnings-per-share-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20231010/0-7d980c552d1efa37ebaea7a258f1a723-0-cdbaef4a5965070ab8541fe6dae5cd14.png/big)
It is of course excellent to see how Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. Take a more thorough look at Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd the TSR over the last 3 years was 81%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Investors in Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.3% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 0.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 0.3% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhongman Petroleum and Natural Gas GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.