Investors in Morningstar (NASDAQ:MORN) Have Seen Solid Returns of 115% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Morningstar (NASDAQ:MORN) Have Seen Solid Returns of 115% Over the Past Five Years
The most you can lose on any stock (assuming you don't use leverage) is 100% of your money. But when you pick a company that is really flourishing, you can make more than 100%. One great example is Morningstar, Inc. (NASDAQ:MORN) which saw its share price drive 107% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 14% over the last quarter.
你在任何一隻股票上最多隻能損失100%的錢(假設你不使用槓桿)。但當你選擇一家真正蓬勃發展的公司時,你可以製作超過100%。一個很好的例子是晨星公司納斯達克(Sequoia Capital:Morn)的股價在五年內上漲了107%。上個季度股價上漲了14%,這也是好事。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 5 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
因此,讓我們評估一下過去5年的基本基本面,看看它們是否與股東回報同步。
Check out our latest analysis for Morningstar
查看我們對晨星的最新分析
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
用巴菲特的話說,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間的變化,我們可以感受到投資者對一家公司的態度隨著時間的推移發生了怎樣的變化。
During five years of share price growth, Morningstar actually saw its EPS drop 32% per year.
在股價增長的五年中,晨星的每股收益實際上每年下降32%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.
從本質上講,投資者似乎不太可能把重點放在每股收益上。由於每股收益似乎與股價不匹配,我們將轉而看看其他指標。
The modest 0.6% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 15% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Morningstar is growing, a real positive. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
0.6%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。相比之下,每年15%的收入增長可能被視為晨星正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。目前,管理層很有可能將收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到收益和收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看確切的值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for Morningstar in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。你可以在這裡看到分析師對晨星的預測互動未來利潤預估圖表。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Morningstar, it has a TSR of 115% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考察投資回報時,重要的是要考慮到股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報。TSR是一種回報計算,計入了現金股息的價值(假設收到的任何股息都進行了再投資),以及任何貼現融資和剝離的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。就晨星而言,它在過去5年的總資產收益率為115%。這超過了我們之前提到的它的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
Morningstar shareholders are up 10% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 17% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Morningstar better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Morningstar you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
晨星的股東今年上漲了10%(甚至包括股息)。不幸的是,這與市場回報率相去甚遠。這可能是一個好跡象,表明該公司擁有更好的長期記錄,在過去五年裡為股東提供了17%的年TSR。也許股價只是在公司執行其增長戰略時稍作喘息。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但為了更好地理解晨星,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。一個恰當的例子:我們發現了晨星的4個警告信號你應該意識到,其中有1個是不容忽視的。
But note: Morningstar may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:晨星可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費過去有盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在美國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報.
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.