The Tonghua Grape Wine Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600365) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 37%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.5% isn't as attractive.
Even after such a large jump in price, when around half the companies operating in China's Beverage industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 7x, you may still consider Tonghua Grape WineLtd as an incredibly enticing stock to check out with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
See our latest analysis for Tonghua Grape WineLtd
What Does Tonghua Grape WineLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Tonghua Grape WineLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tonghua Grape WineLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Tonghua Grape WineLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 37% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 18% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Tonghua Grape WineLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Tonghua Grape WineLtd's P/S
Even after such a strong price move, Tonghua Grape WineLtd's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Tonghua Grape WineLtd confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Tonghua Grape WineLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.