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Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) the Stock Climbs 4.2%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 93%

Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Hexcel (NYSE:HXL) the Stock Climbs 4.2%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 93%

尽管Hexcel(纽约证券交易所代码:HXL)的收益呈下降趋势,但该股仍上涨了4.2%,使三年期涨幅达到93%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/11 11:25

Hexcel Corporation (NYSE:HXL) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 12% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been pleasing. In fact, the company's share price bested the return of its market index in that time, posting a gain of 91%.

Hexel公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:HXL)上季度股价下跌12%后,股东们可能会感到担忧。但这并不能改变过去三年回报一直令人满意的事实。事实上,在这段时间里,该公司的股价超过了其市场指数的回报,涨幅为91%。

After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.

在过去一周的强劲上涨之后,长期回报是否受到基本面改善的推动值得关注。

Check out our latest analysis for Hexcel

查看我们对Hexel的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的原话是:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估围绕一家公司的情绪变化的一个有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During the three years of share price growth, Hexcel actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 8.7% per year.

在股价增长的三年中,Hexel的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降8.7%。

Thus, it seems unlikely that the market is focussed on EPS growth at the moment. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

因此,目前市场似乎不太可能把重点放在每股收益增长上。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化没有相关性,因此值得看看其他指标。

The modest 0.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. The revenue drop of 1.5% is as underwhelming as some politicians. What's clear is that historic earnings and revenue aren't matching up with the share price action, very well. So you might have to dig deeper to get a grasp of the situation

0.7%的适度股息收益率不太可能支撑股价。1.5%的收入降幅和一些政客一样平淡无奇。显而易见的是,历史收益和营收与股价走势并没有很好的匹配。因此,你可能需要更深入地调查,才能掌握情况

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:HXL Earnings and Revenue Growth October 11th 2023
纽约证券交易所:HXL收益和收入增长2023年10月11日

Hexcel is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

Hexel是一只知名的股票,有大量的分析师报道,这表明它对未来的增长有一定的可见性。鉴于我们有相当多的分析师预测,可能很值得查看以下内容免费描绘共识估计的图表。

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hexcel, it has a TSR of 93% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考察投资回报时,重要的是要考虑到股东总回报(TSR)和股价回报。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。公平地说,TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图景。以Hexel为例,它在过去3年的TSR为93%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Hexcel has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 28% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 1.9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hexcel .

很高兴看到Hexel在过去12个月里为股东带来了28%的总回报。这确实包括了股息。由于一年期的TSR好于五年期的TSR(后者的年利率为1.9%),看起来该股的表现在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的商业势头,意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。为此,您应该意识到1个警告标志我们发现了赫克塞尔。

We will like Hexcel better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大的内部收购,我们会更喜欢Hexel。在我们等待的时候,看看这个免费最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有什么反馈吗?担心内容吗? 保持联系直接与我们联系。或者,也可以给编辑组发电子邮件,地址是implywallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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