Dragon Rise Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:6829) 36% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
Dragon Rise Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:6829) 36% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk
The Dragon Rise Group Holdings Limited (HKG:6829) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 36%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.
這個龍升集團控股有限公司(HKG:6829)過去一個月,股價表現非常糟糕,大幅下跌36%。在過去12個月裡一直持有股票的股東現在坐擁44%的股價下跌,而不是獲得回報。
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Dragon Rise Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.7x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
儘管股價大幅下跌,龍洲國際控股有限公司16.7倍的本益比(或“本益比”)仍可能使其目前看起來像是一個強勁的賣盤。在香港市場,大約一半的公司的本益比低於9倍,甚至本益比低於4倍的情況也很常見。儘管如此,我們還需要更深入地挖掘,以確定本益比大幅上升是否有合理的基礎。
Earnings have risen at a steady rate over the last year for Dragon Rise Group Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this good earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
在過去的一年裡,龍瑞集團控股的盈利一直在穩步增長,這總體上是一個不錯的結果。一種可能性是,本益比很高,因為投資者認為,這種良好的收益增長將足以在不久的將來跑贏大盤。你真的希望如此,否則你會無緣無故地付出相當大的代價。
View our latest analysis for Dragon Rise Group Holdings
查看我們對龍升集團控股的最新分析
How Is Dragon Rise Group Holdings' Growth Trending?
龍瑞集團控股的增長趨勢如何?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Dragon Rise Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
有一種固有的假設,即一家公司的本益比應該遠遠超過大盤,才能被認為是合理的。
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 6.6% last year. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
先回過頭來看,該公司去年的每股收益輕鬆增長了6.6%。然而,由於其在此期間之前的表現不太令人印象深刻,在過去三年中,每股收益幾乎不存在增長。因此,在我們看來,在這段時間裡,該公司在收益增長方面的結果好壞參半。
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
與預計未來12個月將實現24%增長的市場相比,根據最近的中期年化收益結果,該公司的增長勢頭較弱。
In light of this, it's alarming that Dragon Rise Group Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
有鑒於此,龍瑞集團控股的本益比高於其他大多數公司,這是令人擔憂的。似乎大多數投資者忽視了最近相當有限的增長率,並希望該公司的業務前景有所好轉。如果本益比下降到與最近的增長率更一致的水準,現有股東很可能會讓自己未來感到失望。
The Final Word
最後的結論
Dragon Rise Group Holdings' shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Dragon Rise Group Holdings的股價可能有所回落,但其本益比仍在高漲。通常,在做出投資決策時,我們會告誡不要過度解讀本益比,儘管它可以充分揭示其他市場參與者對該公司的看法。
We've established that Dragon Rise Group Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
我們已經確定,Dragon Rise Group Holdings目前的本益比遠高於預期,因為其最近三年的增長低於更廣泛的市場預測。當我們看到盈利疲軟、增長慢於市場增長時,我們懷疑股價有下跌的風險,導致高本益比下降。除非最近的中期狀況明顯改善,否則要接受這些價格是合理的是非常具有挑戰性的。
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Dragon Rise Group Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.
在您採取下一步之前,您應該瞭解龍升集團控股的3個警告信號(1不容忽視!)我們已經發現了。
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
重要的是確保你尋找的是一家偉大的公司,而不僅僅是你遇到的第一個想法。所以讓我們來看看這個免費近期收益增長強勁(本益比較低)的有趣公司名單。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.