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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Zhejiang Busen Garments Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002569) With Shares Advancing 27%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 15, 2023 08:03

Despite an already strong run, Zhejiang Busen Garments Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002569) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 9.3% isn't as attractive.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China's Luxury industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2x, you may consider Zhejiang Busen Garments as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Busen Garments

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002569 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2023

What Does Zhejiang Busen Garments' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Zhejiang Busen Garments over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Zhejiang Busen Garments, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Zhejiang Busen Garments' Revenue Growth Trending?

Zhejiang Busen Garments' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 45%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 61% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 21% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Busen Garments' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Busen Garments' P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Zhejiang Busen Garments' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Zhejiang Busen Garments revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Zhejiang Busen Garments with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Busen Garments' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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