Ping An Bank (SZSE:000001) Shareholders Have Endured a 32% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago
Ping An Bank (SZSE:000001) Shareholders Have Endured a 32% Loss From Investing in the Stock Three Years Ago
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Ping An Bank Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000001) shareholders, since the share price is down 36% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 9.8%.
为了证明挑选个股的努力是合理的,值得努力超越市场指数基金的回报。但选股的风险是,你可能会买入表现不佳的公司。不幸的是,从长远来看,情况就是这样平安银行股份有限公司。(SZSE:000001)股东,因为股价在过去三年里下跌了36%,远低于市场约9.8%的跌幅。
Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
现在让我们来看看该公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
Check out our latest analysis for Ping An Bank
查看我们对平安银行的最新分析
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
在他的文章中格雷厄姆和多德斯维尔的超级投资者沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性地反映一家企业的价值。一种不完美但简单的方法来考虑市场对一家公司的看法是如何改变的,那就是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价走势进行比较。
Although the share price is down over three years, Ping An Bank actually managed to grow EPS by 21% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
尽管平安银行的股价在三年多的时间里下跌了,但在这段时间里,平安银行实际上实现了每股收益每年21%的增长。这是一个相当令人费解的问题,表明可能有什么因素暂时提振了股价。或者,该公司过去被过度炒作,因此其增长令人失望。
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
值得看看其他指标,因为每股收益的增长似乎与下跌的股价不匹配。
We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 12% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Ping An Bank more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
我们注意到,在三年的时间里,收入实际上以12%的年率增长,因此这似乎不是出售股票的理由。这种分析只是敷衍了事,但它可能值得更仔细地研究平安银行,因为有时股价下跌不公平。这可能会带来一个机会。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下图中看到收益和收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切的值)。
Ping An Bank is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
平安银行为投资者所熟知,许多聪明的分析师曾试图预测未来的利润水平。因此,我们建议您查看以下内容免费显示共识预测的报告
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Ping An Bank, it has a TSR of -32% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR是一种回报计算,计入了现金股息的价值(假设收到的任何股息都进行了再投资),以及任何贴现融资和剥离的计算价值。可以说,TSR更全面地描绘了一只股票产生的回报。以平安银行为例,其过去3年的总资产收益率为-32%。这超过了我们之前提到的它的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While it's never nice to take a loss, Ping An Bank shareholders can take comfort that , including dividends,their trailing twelve month loss of 2.2% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 3.2%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 2%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Ping An Bank , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
虽然亏损从来都不是好事,但平安银行的股东可以感到欣慰的是,包括股息在内,他们过去12个月2.2%的亏损没有市场3.2%左右的亏损那么糟糕。较长期的投资者不会如此沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年会获得2%的收益。可能该业务只是面临一些短期问题,但股东应密切关注基本面。虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响,但还有其他更重要的因素。例如,考虑一下无处不在的投资风险幽灵。我们已经确定了1个警告信号与平安银行合作,了解他们应该是你投资过程的一部分。
Of course Ping An Bank may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然了平安银行可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能想看看这个免费成长型股票的集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。