Shareholders in Angang Steel (HKG:347) Have Lost 59%, as Stock Drops 3.7% This Past Week
Shareholders in Angang Steel (HKG:347) Have Lost 59%, as Stock Drops 3.7% This Past Week
Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But no-one is immune from buying too high. To wit, the Angang Steel Company Limited (HKG:347) share price managed to fall 66% over five long years. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 13% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 6.6% in the same timeframe.
從統計學上講,長期投資是一項有利可圖的事業。但沒有人能倖免於過高買入。也就是說,鞍鋼股份有限公司(HKG:347)股價在長達五年的時間裡下跌了66%。對於真正的信徒來說,這並不是什麼有趣的事情。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裡下跌了13%。然而,有人可能會說,價格受到了大盤的影響,大盤在同一時間段內下跌了6.6%。
Since Angang Steel has shed HK$654m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.
由於鞍鋼股份在過去7天裡市值縮水6.54億港元,讓我們看看較長期的下跌是否是由企業的經濟狀況推動的。
See our latest analysis for Angang Steel
查看我們對鞍鋼的最新分析
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映的是投資者情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的企業表現。考察市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是觀察一家公司的股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
In the last half decade Angang Steel saw its share price fall as its EPS declined below zero. At present it's hard to make valid comparisons between EPS and the share price. However, we can say we'd expect to see a falling share price in this scenario.
在過去的五年裡,鞍鋼股價下跌,每股收益降至零以下。目前,很難將每股收益與股價進行有效的比較。然而,我們可以說,在這種情況下,我們預計會看到股價下跌。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到EPS是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(單擊圖表可查看精確值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Angang Steel's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
可能值得注意的是,首席執行官的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注首席執行官的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是,該公司是否會在未來幾年實現盈利增長。也許很值得一看我們的免費鞍鋼的收益、收入和現金流報告。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Angang Steel's TSR for the last 5 years was -59%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司來說,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。恰好,鞍鋼最近5年的TSR為-59%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。該公司支付的股息因此提振了總計股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 12% in the last year, Angang Steel shareholders lost 12% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We would want clear information suggesting the company will grow, before taking the view that the share price will stabilize. You could get a better understanding of Angang Steel's growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.
儘管大盤去年上漲了約12%,但鞍鋼股份的股東損失了12%(甚至包括股息)。即使是好股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對企業產生太大興趣之前,看到企業的基本指標有所改善。然而,過去一年的虧損沒有投資者在過去五年中遭受的每年10%的損失那麼嚴重。在認為股價將企穩之前,我們希望有明確的資訊表明該公司將會增長。你可以通過查看這張更詳細的收益、收入和現金流的歷史圖表來更好地瞭解鞍鋼的增長。
But note: Angang Steel may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:鞍鋼可能不是最值得買入的股票。所以讓我們來看看這個免費過去有盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.