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Shareholders in Mandarin Oriental International (SGX:M04) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

Shareholders in Mandarin Oriental International (SGX:M04) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago

文华东方国际集团(新加坡证券交易所股票代码:M04)的股东如果在五年前投资,他们将处于亏损状态
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/15 20:02

The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Mandarin Oriental International Limited (SGX:M04), since the last five years saw the share price fall 16%.

选股的主要目的是寻找超越市场的股票。但是在任何投资组合中,个股之间的结果好坏参半。此时,一些股东可能会质疑他们在以下方面的投资 文华东方国际有限公司 新加坡证券交易所股票代码:M04),自过去五年以来,股价下跌了16%。

So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

因此,让我们来看看公司的长期表现是否与基础业务的进展一致。

Check out our latest analysis for Mandarin Oriental International

查看我们对文华东方国际酒店的最新分析

Given that Mandarin Oriental International didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

鉴于文华东方国际集团在过去十二个月中没有盈利,我们将专注于收入增长,以快速了解其业务发展。无利可图公司的股东通常期望收入增长强劲。一些公司愿意推迟盈利以更快地增加收入,但在这种情况下,人们确实期望收入增长良好。

Over half a decade Mandarin Oriental International reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 11% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 3% compound, over five years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. We doubt many shareholders are delighted with this share price performance. It is possible for businesses to bounce back but as Buffett says, 'turnarounds seldom turn'.

在过去的五年中,文华东方国际集团过去十二个月的收入每年减少11%。客气地说,这使它属于一个没有吸引力的群体。从表面上看,我们假设股价在五年内复合下跌了3%,这是基本面恶化的充分理由。我们怀疑许多股东是否对这种股价表现感到满意。企业有可能反弹,但正如巴菲特所说,“转机很少发生”。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SGX:M04 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2023
新加坡交易所:M04 收益和收入增长 2023 年 10 月 16 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在此看到其资产负债表是如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)的 免费的 交互式图形。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Mandarin Oriental International the TSR over the last 5 years was -13%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。虽然股价回报仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设是再投资)以及任何贴现融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了支付股息的股票。我们注意到,文华东方国际集团过去5年的股东总回报率为-13%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market gained around 7.4% in the last year, Mandarin Oriental International shareholders lost 10% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Mandarin Oriental International .

尽管整个市场在去年上涨了约7.4%,但文华东方国际集团的股东却下跌了10%(甚至包括股息)。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于感兴趣之前,看到企业的基本面指标有所改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明挑战尚未解决,因为这比过去五年中3%的年化亏损还要糟糕。总体而言,长期股价疲软可能是一个坏兆头,尽管逆势投资者可能想研究该股以期出现转机。我发现从长远来看,将股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该意识到 1 个警告标志 我们发现了文华东方国际酒店。

But note: Mandarin Oriental International may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但请注意: 文华东方国际可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以来看看这个 免费的 过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司名单。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在新加坡交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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