share_log

Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600566) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 15% If They Invested Five Years Ago

Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical (SHSE:600566) Investors Are Sitting on a Loss of 15% If They Invested Five Years Ago

湖北健康药业(上海证券交易所代码:600566)投资者如果在五年前投资,将亏损15%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/15 21:31

Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But every investor is virtually certain to have both over-performing and under-performing stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600566) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 29% over a half decade.

理想情况下,您的整体投资组合应超过市场平均水平。但是,几乎可以肯定,每位投资者都有表现优异和表现不佳的股票。因此,从长远来看,我们不会责备 湖北捷康药业有限公司 (上海证券交易所代码:600566)股东怀疑他们持有的决定,该股在五年中下跌了29%。

Now let's have a look at the company's fundamentals, and see if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

现在让我们来看看公司的基本面,看看长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。

Check out our latest analysis for Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical

查看我们对湖北 Jumpcan 制药的最新分析

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

While the share price declined over five years, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 8.1% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

尽管股价在五年内下跌,但湖北Jumpcan Pharemical实际上设法做到了 增加 每股收益平均每年增长8.1%。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑每股收益并不能很好地指导该期间的业务表现(可能是由于一次性的亏损或收益)。或者,过去的增长预期可能是不合理的。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由于每股收益增长率与股价增长形成鲜明对比,我们倾向于参考其他指标来了解围绕该股的市场情绪变化。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 6.1% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

与股价形成鲜明对比的是,在过去的五年中,收入实际上每年增长6.1%。对收入和收益的更详细的审查可能会也可能无法解释股价下跌的原因;可能有机会。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

公司的收入和收益(随着时间的推移)如下图所示(点击查看确切数字)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600566 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2023
上海证券交易所:600566 2023 年 10 月 16 日收益和收入增长

We know that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我们知道湖北健健药业最近已经提高了利润,但是未来会怎样?所以我们建议你看看这个 免费的 显示共识预测的报告

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical's TSR for the last 5 years was -15%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑股东总回报(TSR)。虽然股价回报仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设是再投资)以及任何贴现融资或分拆的收益。可以说,股东总回报率更全面地描述了股票产生的回报。碰巧的是,湖北健健药业过去5年的股东总回报率为-15%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了分歧,这是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

It's good to see that Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 1.8% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. There's no doubt those recent returns are much better than the TSR loss of 3% per year over five years. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical .

很高兴看到湖北健健药业在过去十二个月中向股东提供了1.8%的总股东回报率。这包括股息。毫无疑问,最近的回报比股东总回报率在五年内每年亏损3%要好得多。这让我们有点警惕,但该企业可能已经扭转了命运。我发现从长远来看,将股价作为业务表现的代表非常有趣。但是,为了真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。为此,你应该意识到 2 个警告标志 我们发现了湖北Jumpcan制药。

Of course Hubei Jumpcan Pharmaceutical may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

当然 湖北健健药业可能不是最值得买入的股票。所以你可能希望看到这个 免费的 成长型股票的收集。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?担心内容吗? 取得联系 直接和我们在一起。 或者,给编辑团队 (at) simplywallst.com 发送电子邮件。
Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发