Huadong Medicine's (SZSE:000963) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 68% Return Over the Last Three Years
Huadong Medicine's (SZSE:000963) Investors Will Be Pleased With Their Decent 68% Return Over the Last Three Years
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. Just take a look at Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd (SZSE:000963), which is up 65%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 14% (not including dividends).
通過購買指數基金,你可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但如果你選擇實力雄厚的個股,你就可以獲得優異的回報。只要看一看華東醫藥股份有限公司(SZSE:000963),三年來上漲了65%,穩穩地超過了市場14%的跌幅(不包括股息)。
So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
因此,讓我們來調查一下,看看該公司的長期表現是否與基礎業務的發展一致。
See our latest analysis for Huadong Medicine
查看我們對華東醫藥的最新分析
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映潛在的商業表現。評估圍繞一家公司的情緒變化的一個有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During the three years of share price growth, Huadong Medicine actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 4.2% per year.
在股價上漲的三年中,華東醫藥的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降4.2%。
Given the share price resilience, we don't think the (declining) EPS numbers are a good measure of how the business is moving forward, right now. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
考慮到股價的彈性,我們認為(不斷下降的)每股收益數位並不能很好地衡量目前業務的進展情況。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,因此值得看看其他指標。
The modest 0.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It may well be that Huadong Medicine revenue growth rate of 5.6% over three years has convinced shareholders to believe in a brighter future. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth, and maybe shareholder's faith in better days ahead will be rewarded.
0.7%的適度股息收益率不太可能支撐股價。華東醫藥過去三年5.6%的收入增長率很可能讓股東們相信了更光明的未來。在這種情況下,該公司可能會犧牲當前的每股收益來推動增長,或許股東對未來更好日子的信心將得到回報。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下圖顯示了收益和收入隨時間的變化情況(如果您點擊該圖,您可以看到更多詳細資訊)。
Huadong Medicine is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
華東醫藥是一隻知名的股票,有大量的分析師報道,這表明對未來的增長有一定的可見性。因此,我們建議您查看以下內容免費顯示共識預測的報告
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Huadong Medicine the TSR over the last 3 years was 68%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的總股東回報以及股價回報。雖然股價回報只反映股價的變動,但TSR包括股息的價值(假設股息再投資),以及任何折價集資或分拆所帶來的利益。公平地說,TSR為支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖景。我們注意到,華東醫藥過去3年的總回報率為68%,好於上述股價回報率。而且,猜測股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異是沒有好處的!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While it's certainly disappointing to see that Huadong Medicine shares lost 2.4% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 3.2%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 7% for each year. In the best case scenario the last year is just a temporary blip on the journey to a brighter future. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Huadong Medicine better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Huadong Medicine , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然看到華東醫藥的股價全年下跌2.4%肯定令人失望,但這並沒有市場3.2%的跌幅那麼糟糕。當然,長期回報要重要得多,好消息是,在過去的五年裡,該股的年回報率為7%。在最好的情況下,去年只是通向更光明未來的旅途中的一個暫時的轉捩點。跟蹤股價的長期表現總是很有趣的。但要更好地理解華東醫藥,我們還需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,考慮一下無處不在的投資風險幽靈。我們已經確定了1個警告信號與華東醫藥合作,瞭解他們應該是你投資過程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然了,如果你把目光投向別處,你可能會發現這是一筆很棒的投資。所以讓我們來看看這個免費我們預計收益將會增長的公司名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.