With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 10.9x in the Biotechs industry in the United States, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MIRM) P/S ratio of 11.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
View our latest analysis for Mirum Pharmaceuticals
What Does Mirum Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Mirum Pharmaceuticals as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Mirum Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Mirum Pharmaceuticals would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 201% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 68% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 126% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Mirum Pharmaceuticals' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From Mirum Pharmaceuticals' P/S?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Given that Mirum Pharmaceuticals' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Mirum Pharmaceuticals that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.