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There's Reason For Concern Over Henan Rebecca Hair Products Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600439) Massive 28% Price Jump

There's Reason For Concern Over Henan Rebecca Hair Products Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600439) Massive 28% Price Jump

有理由担心河南丽贝卡发制品有限公司's (上海证券交易所代码:600439) 价格大幅上涨 28%
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/20 01:22

The Henan Rebecca Hair Products Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600439) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.

这个 河南丽贝卡发制品有限公司 (上海证券交易所代码:600439)股价在上个月表现良好,涨幅惊人,为28%。再往前看,令人鼓舞的是,该股在去年上涨了30%。

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Henan Rebecca Hair Products' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Personal Products industry is similar at about 3.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

即使在价格大幅上涨之后,仍然没有多少人认为河南丽贝卡发制品公司3.1倍的市盈率(或 “市盈率”)值得一提,而中国个人用品行业的市盈率中位数与3.8倍相似,约为3.8倍。尽管这可能不会引起任何人的关注,但如果市盈率不合理,投资者可能会错过潜在的机会或忽视迫在眉睫的失望情绪。

See our latest analysis for Henan Rebecca Hair Products

查看我们对河南丽贝卡发制品的最新分析

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600439 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 20th 2023
上海证券交易所:600439 市售比率与行业对比 2023 年 10 月 20 日

What Does Henan Rebecca Hair Products' Recent Performance Look Like?

河南丽贝卡发制品公司最近的表现是什么样子?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Henan Rebecca Hair Products over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

举例来说,河南丽贝卡发制品公司的收入在过去一年中有所下降,这并不理想。也许投资者认为,最近的收入表现足以与该行业保持一致,这使市盈率不会下降。如果不是,那么现有股东可能会对股价的可行性有些紧张。

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our
我们没有分析师的预测,但你可以通过查看我们的,了解最近的趋势如何为公司的未来奠定基础
free
免费的
report on Henan Rebecca Hair Products' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
关于河南丽贝卡发制品公司的收益、收入和现金流的报告。

How Is Henan Rebecca Hair Products' Revenue Growth Trending?

河南丽贝卡发制品公司的收入增长趋势如何?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Henan Rebecca Hair Products' to be considered reasonable.

有一种固有的假设,即一家公司应该将像河南丽贝卡发制品公司这样的市盈率与行业相提并论,才能被认为是合理的。

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 10.0% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

首先回顾一下,该公司去年的收入增长并不令人兴奋,因为它公布了令人失望的19%的下降幅度。结果,三年前的总收入也下降了10.0%。因此,股东们会对中期收入增长率感到悲观。

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.

将中期收入轨迹与整个行业一年的24%扩张预测进行权衡,就会发现这是一个不愉快的表情。

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Henan Rebecca Hair Products' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

有鉴于此,河南丽贝卡发制品公司的市盈率与大多数其他公司持平,这有些令人震惊。看来大多数投资者都忽略了最近的低增长率,他们希望公司的业务前景有所好转。只有最大胆的人才会认为这些价格是可持续的,因为最近收入趋势的延续最终可能会压制股价。

What We Can Learn From Henan Rebecca Hair Products' P/S?

我们可以从河南丽贝卡发制品公司的P/S中学到什么?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Henan Rebecca Hair Products' P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

其股价大幅上涨,现在河南丽贝卡发制品公司的市盈率又回到了行业中位数的区间内。仅使用市售比率来确定是否应该出售股票是不明智的,但它可以作为公司未来前景的实用指南。

The fact that Henan Rebecca Hair Products currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

河南丽贝卡发制品公司目前的市盈率与该行业其他公司持平,这一事实令我们感到惊讶,因为其最近的收入在中期内一直在下降,而该行业仍将增长。在行业预测不断增长的背景下,当我们看到收入倒退时,预计股价可能下跌,从而使温和的市盈率走低是有意义的。除非最近的中期状况显著改善,否则投资者将很难接受股价作为公允价值。

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Henan Rebecca Hair Products (at least 2 which shouldn't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

始终需要考虑永远存在的投资风险幽灵。 我们在河南丽贝卡发制品中发现了3个警告信号 (至少 2 个不容忽视),理解它们应该是你投资过程的一部分。

If you're unsure about the strength of Henan Rebecca Hair Products' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

如果你是 不确定河南丽贝卡发制品公司的业务实力,为什么不浏览我们的互动股票清单,为你可能错过的其他一些公司提供坚实的商业基本面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。 我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。 它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街在上述任何股票中都没有头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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