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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301217)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301217)?

股票下跌和财务状况良好:市场对安徽铜冠铜箔集团股份有限公司(深交所股票代码:301217)的看法错了吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 01:04

It is hard to get excited after looking at Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's (SZSE:301217) recent performance, when its stock has declined 14% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's ROE in this article.

看到安徽铜冠铜箔集团(SZSE:301217)最近的表现,很难感到兴奋,其股价在过去三个月里下跌了14%。但如果你密切关注,你可能会发现,该公司的关键财务指标看起来相当不错,这可能意味着,鉴于市场通常会奖励更具弹性的长期基本面因素,该股可能会在长期内上涨。具体地说,我们决定在本文中研究安徽铜冠铜箔集团的净资产收益率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

股本回报率(ROE)是对一家公司增值和管理投资者资金的效率的测试。换句话说,这是一个衡量公司股东提供的资本回报率的盈利比率。

View our latest analysis for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group

查看我们对安徽铜冠铜箔集团的最新分析

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率是如何计算的?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股本回报率可使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率=(持续经营的)净利润?股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,安徽铜冠铜箔集团的净资产收益率为:

1.8% = CN¥101m ÷ CN¥5.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

1.8%=1.01亿元×56亿元(以截至2023年6月的12个月为基础)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

“回报”指的是一家公司过去一年的收益。这意味着,股东权益每增加1元,公司就会产生0.02元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

净资产收益率与盈利增长有什么关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

我们已经证实,净资产收益率是一家公司未来收益的有效盈利指标。我们现在需要评估公司将多少利润再投资或“保留”用于未来的增长,这就让我们对公司的增长潜力有了一个了解。一般来说,在其他条件相同的情况下,股本回报率和利润留存较高的公司比不具备这些特征的公司有更高的增长率。

Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's Earnings Growth And 1.8% ROE

安徽铜冠铜箔集团盈利增长1.8%净资产收益率

It is hard to argue that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.1%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group was still able to see a decent net income growth of 10% over the past five years. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

很难说安徽铜冠铜箔集团的净资产收益率本身就很好。即使与行业平均7.1%的净资产收益率相比,该公司的净资产收益率也相当惨淡。安徽铜冠铜箔集团在过去五年中仍然能够实现10%的不错的净收入增长。因此,收益的增长可能是由其他变量造成的。例如-高收益留存或有效的管理到位。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 16% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下来,对比行业净收入增长,我们发现,安徽铜冠铜箔集团过去几年的报告增长低于行业16%的增长,这是我们不愿意看到的。

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301217 Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2023
深圳证交所:过去301217的收益增长2023年10月23日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

赋予一家公司价值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长挂钩。对于投资者来说,重要的是知道市场是否已经消化了公司预期的收益增长(或下降)。这样做将有助于他们确定该股的未来看起来是光明的还是不祥的。与其他公司相比,安徽铜冠铜箔集团的估值是否公平?这3个估值指标可能会帮助你做出决定。

Is Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

安徽铜冠铜箔集团是否有效利用其留存收益?

Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 30%, which implies that it retains the remaining 70% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

安徽铜冠铜箔集团的三年派息率中值为30%,这意味着它保留了剩余70%的利润。这表明,它的股息得到了很好的覆盖,考虑到该公司看到的可观增长,管理层似乎正在有效地对其收益进行再投资。

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders.

随着盈利的增长,安徽铜冠铜箔集团最近才开始分红。该公司很可能希望给股东留下深刻印象。

Conclusion

结论

Overall, we feel that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group.

总体而言,我们觉得安徽铜冠铜箔集团确实有一些积极的因素需要考虑。也就是说,在高再投资率的支持下,收益实现了可观的增长。然而,我们确实认为,如果业务在低净资产收益率的基础上有所改善,收益增长可能会更高。尤其是考虑到该公司正在对其利润的一大部分进行再投资。虽然我们不会完全解雇这家公司,但我们要做的是努力确定这项业务在公司周围做出更明智的决定的风险有多大。我们的风险仪表板将包含我们为安徽铜冠铜箔集团确定的3个风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。

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