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Not Many Are Piling Into Fathom Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:FTHM) Stock Yet As It Plummets 29%

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 24, 2023 18:02

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Fathom Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:FTHM) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 19% share price drop.

Following the heavy fall in price, Fathom Holdings may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.5x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Fathom Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:FTHM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 24th 2023

What Does Fathom Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Fathom Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Fathom Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Fathom Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

Fathom Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 180% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 8.5% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.1% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Fathom Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Fathom Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Fathom Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've seen that Fathom Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. Perhaps investors are concerned that the company could underperform against the forecasts over the near term.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Fathom Holdings you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fathom Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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