Perfect Corp. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
Perfect Corp. Just Reported A Surprise Profit And Analysts Updated Their Estimates
There's been a notable change in appetite for Perfect Corp. (NYSE:PERF) shares in the week since its third-quarter report, with the stock down 14% to US$2.49. It was overall a positive result, with revenues beating expectations by 4.8% to hit US$15m. Perfect also reported a statutory profit of US$0.03, which was a nice improvement from the loss that the analysts were predicting. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
人们的胃口发生了显著的变化完美公司(纽约证券交易所股票代码:PERF)股价自第三季度报告以来的一周内下跌14%,至2.49美元。总体来说,这是一个积极的结果,收入超过预期4.8%,达到1500万美元。Perfect还公布了0.03美元的法定利润,这比分析师预测的亏损有了很大的改善。分析师通常会在每一份收益报告中更新他们的预测,我们可以从他们的估计中判断他们对公司的看法是否发生了变化,或者是否有任何新的担忧需要注意。因此,我们收集了最新的盈利后法定共识估计,看看明年可能会发生什么。
See our latest analysis for Perfect
请查看我们最新的分析以获取完美
![earnings-and-revenue-growth](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20231027/0-508e36e8800bf6a2a462864ceff1291d-0-51d9328b040ec592088122c4beed03e5.png/big)
Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Perfect's three analysts is for revenues of US$61.4m in 2024. This would reflect a huge 22% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Losses are predicted to fall substantially, shrinking 97% to US$0.04. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$63.0m and losses of US$0.01 per share in 2024. So it's pretty clear the analysts have mixed opinions on Perfect after this update; revenues were downgraded and per-share losses expected to increase.
考虑到最新的业绩,完美的三位分析师目前的共识是,2024年的收入将达到6140万美元。这将反映出该公司在过去12个月的收入大幅增长了22%。预计亏损将大幅下降,缩水97%,至0.04美元。在这一财报公布之前,分析师们一直在预测2024年营收为6300万美元,每股亏损0.01美元。因此,很明显,在这次更新之后,分析师们对Perfect的看法不一;收入被下调,每股亏损预计将增加。
The average price target fell 26% to US$3.75, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for Perfect's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Perfect, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$4.50 and the most bearish at US$3.00 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
平均目标价下跌26%,至3.75美元,暗示较低的每股收益是完美公司估值的领先指标。看看分析师估计的范围,评估异常值与平均值的差异也可能是有启发意义的。对Perfect有一些不同的看法,最乐观的分析师对其估值为4.50美元,最悲观的分析师估值为每股3.00美元。这表明,投资者的估值仍存在一定的差异性,但分析师似乎并不完全对该股持不同看法,好像这可能是一种成功或失败的局面。
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that Perfect's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 17% annualised growth rate until the end of 2024 being well below the historical 22% p.a. growth over the last five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 12% per year. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Perfect is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.
我们看待这些估计的另一种方式是放在更大的背景下,比如预测与过去的表现如何比较,以及预测相对于行业内的其他公司是更乐观还是更乐观。我们要强调的是,完美的收入增长预计将放缓,截至2024年底的预测年化增长率为17%,远低于历史上22%的年增长率。过去五年的增长。将这一点与分析师覆盖的行业内其他公司进行比较,预计这些公司的收入(总计)每年将增长12%。即使在预测增长放缓之后,完美也有望比整个行业增长得更快,这似乎是显而易见的。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most important thing to note is the forecast of increased losses next year, suggesting all may not be well at Perfect. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, but the latest forecasts still imply the business will grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Perfect's future valuation.
最需要注意的是对明年亏损增加的预测,这表明一切都可能并不完美。遗憾的是,他们也下调了营收预期,但最新的预测仍暗示,该业务的增长速度将快于整个行业。一致的目标价大幅下降,分析师们似乎对最新的结果并不放心,导致对完美未来估值的估计较低。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have forecasts for Perfect going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
话虽如此,该公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。我们有到2025年的完美走势预测,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到。
You can also see our analysis of Perfect's Board and CEO remuneration and experience, and whether company insiders have been buying stock.
你还可以看到我们对完美的董事会和首席执行官的薪酬和经验的分析,以及公司内部人士是否一直在买入股票。
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本文由Simply Wall St.撰写,具有概括性。我们仅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并不打算作为财务建议。它不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也没有考虑你的目标或你的财务状况。我们的目标是为您带来由基本面数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会将最新的对价格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考虑在内。Simply Wall St.对上述任何一只股票都没有持仓。