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The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Shanghai Jahwa United (SHSE:600315) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Three-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Shanghai Jahwa United (SHSE:600315) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

上海家化聯航(SHSE: 600315)的三年基礎收益增長令人鼓舞,但在此期間,股東仍處於虧損狀態
Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/30 12:08

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Shanghai Jahwa United Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600315) shareholders, since the share price is down 44% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 8.9%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 21% in the last three months. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 9.9% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

作為一名投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超過市場平均水準是值得的。但在任何投資組合中,都可能會有一些股票沒有達到這一基準。不幸的是,從長遠來看,情況就是這樣上海家化聯合有限公司。(上交所:600315)股東,因為股價在過去三年裡下跌了44%,遠遠低於市場約8.9%的跌幅。股價最近加速下跌,在過去三個月裡下跌了21%。當然,在此期間,這一股價走勢很可能受到大盤9.9%跌幅的影響。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

鑑於過去一週對股東的態度一直很嚴峻,讓我們調查一下基本面,看看我們能學到什麼。

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Jahwa United

查看我們對上海家化聯合的最新分析

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

用巴菲特的話說,“船隻將在世界各地航行,但平坦的地球協會將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差異……”一種不完美但簡單的方法來考慮市場對一家公司的看法是如何改變的,那就是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Although the share price is down over three years, Shanghai Jahwa United actually managed to grow EPS by 19% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

儘管股價在三年多的時間裡下跌,但在此期間,上海家化聯合實際上實現了每股收益每年19%的增長。這是一個相當令人費解的問題,表明可能有什麼因素暫時提振了股價。或者,該公司過去被過度炒作,因此其增長令人失望。

Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化沒有相關性,因此值得看看其他指標。

The modest 0.9% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. With revenue flat over three years, it seems unlikely that the share price is reflecting the top line. We're not entirely sure why the share price is dropped, but it does seem likely investors have become less optimistic about the business.

0.9%的適度股息收益率不太可能指導市場對該股的看法。由於三年來營收持平,股價似乎不太可能反映營收。我們不完全確定股價下跌的原因,但看起來投資者似乎對該業務不那麼樂觀了。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

你可以在下面看到收入和收入是如何隨著時間的推移而變化的(點擊圖片可以發現確切的價值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600315 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 30th 2023
上海證交所:600315收益和收入增長2023年10月30日

Shanghai Jahwa United is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Shanghai Jahwa United will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

上海家化聯合為投資者所熟知,許多聰明的分析師曾試圖預測未來的利潤水準。因此,看看分析人士認為上海家化聯隊未來的收入是多少是很有意義的(自由分析師共識估計)

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

We regret to report that Shanghai Jahwa United shareholders are down 15% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 0.2%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 2% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Jahwa United you should know about.

我們遺憾地報告,上海家化聯合的股東今年以來下降了15%(即使包括股息)。不幸的是,這比大盤0.2%的跌幅還要糟糕。然而,這可能只是因為股價受到了更廣泛的市場緊張情緒的影響。也許有必要關注基本面,以防出現良機。遺憾的是,去年的業績為糟糕的表現畫上了句號,股東們在五年內面臨著每年2%的總虧損。一般來說,股價長期疲軟可能是一個壞信號,儘管反向投資者可能會希望研究這只股票,希望它能好轉。雖然值得考慮市場狀況對股價可能產生的不同影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮一下風險。每家公司都有它們,我們已經發現上海家化聯合的1個警告標誌你應該知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

對於那些想要找到贏得投資免費最近有內幕收購的不斷增長的公司名單可能就是合適的選擇。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有什麼反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎? 保持聯繫直接與我們聯繫.或者,也可以給編輯組發電子郵件,地址是暗示Wallst.com。
本文由Simply Wall St.撰寫,具有概括性.我們僅使用不偏不倚的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並不打算作為財務建議.它不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮你的目標或你的財務狀況.我們的目標是為您帶來由基本面數據驅動的長期重點分析.請注意,我們的分析可能不會將最新的對價格敏感的公司公告或定性材料考慮在內.Simply Wall St.對上述任何一隻股票都沒有持倉.

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