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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688496) Shares

苏州青悦光电科技股份有限公司(SHSE:688496)的股票可能会出现不愉快的意外

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/31 03:03

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 8.2x in the Semiconductor industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688496) P/S ratio of 7.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688496 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 31st 2023

How Has Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology Performed Recently?

For instance, Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 18%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 66% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 40% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Suzhou QingYue Optoelectronics Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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