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Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

貴州茅台酒股份有限公司(SHSE:600519)の基本的なデータはかなり強く、市場はこの株について間違っている可能性がありますか?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/31 18:00

With its stock down 10% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Kweichow Moutai (SHSE:600519). However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Kweichow Moutai's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Kweichow Moutai

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kweichow Moutai is:

33% = CN¥74b ÷ CN¥225b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.33 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Kweichow Moutai's Earnings Growth And 33% ROE

First thing first, we like that Kweichow Moutai has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 18% which is quite remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Kweichow Moutai was able to see a decent net income growth of 14% over the last five years.

We then performed a comparison between Kweichow Moutai's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 18% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600519 Past Earnings Growth October 31st 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 600519 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Kweichow Moutai Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Kweichow Moutai has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 49% (or a retention ratio of 51%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Additionally, Kweichow Moutai has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 52%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 31%.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Kweichow Moutai's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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