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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology (SZSE:001278) Shareholders

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 2, 2023 18:02

A lackluster earnings announcement from Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001278) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

See our latest analysis for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology

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SZSE:001278 Earnings and Revenue History November 2nd 2023

Zooming In On Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2023, Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.26. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥97.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥83m in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥83m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥17m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Our Take On Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's Profit Performance

Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Ningbo Yibin Electronic Technology you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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