The market was pleased with the recent earnings report from Tianjin Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600082), despite the profit numbers being soft. However, we think the company is showing some signs that things are more promising than they seem.
Check out our latest analysis for Tianjin Hi-Tech Development
A Closer Look At Tianjin Hi-Tech Development's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Tianjin Hi-Tech Development has an accrual ratio of -0.18 for the year to September 2023. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥394m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥10.3m. Notably, Tianjin Hi-Tech Development had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥394m it produced this year was a welcome improvement.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Tianjin Hi-Tech Development.
Our Take On Tianjin Hi-Tech Development's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Tianjin Hi-Tech Development's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Tianjin Hi-Tech Development's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Tianjin Hi-Tech Development you should be mindful of and 1 of these is concerning.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Tianjin Hi-Tech Development's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
