share_log

Shareholders in Far East Horizon (HKG:3360) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

Shareholders in Far East Horizon (HKG:3360) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago

遠東宏信(HKG: 3360)的股東如果在三年前投資,就會陷入虧損
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/03 18:35

It can certainly be frustrating when a stock does not perform as hoped. But it's hard to avoid some disappointing investments when the overall market is down. The Far East Horizon Limited (HKG:3360) is down 28% over three years, but the total shareholder return is -14% once you include the dividend. And that total return actually beats the market decline of 17%.

當整個市場下跌時,股票表現不盡如人意確實令人沮喪。在過去的3年中,遠東宏信有限公司(港交所代碼:3360)跌幅達28%,但如果包括股息,股東總回報率爲-14%。實際上,該總回報率比市場下跌的17%要高。

Since shareholders are down over the longer term, lets look at the underlying fundamentals over the that time and see if they've been consistent with returns.

由於股東們長期以來都虧損了,因此讓我們回顧過去一段時間的基本面,看看是否一直與收益相一致。

View our latest analysis for Far East Horizon

請查看我們對遠東宏信的最新分析。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話:“船隻將周遊世界,而‘地平派’仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……”考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。

During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Far East Horizon actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 10% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

在這個不幸的三年中,遠東宏信的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年提高了10%。這是個很謎團,這表明股票價格可能有一些暫時的支撐。或者過去的增長預期可能是不合理的。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得一提的是,在三年的時間裏,營業收入實際上年增長了32%,因此這似乎不是出售股票的理由。很可能需要進一步調查中國儒意控股,因爲我們在分析中可能會漏掉一些內容,而這也可能是一個機會。

We note that the dividend seems healthy enough, so that probably doesn't explain the share price drop. We like that Far East Horizon has actually grown its revenue over the last three years. But it's not clear to us why the share price is down. It might be worth diving deeper into the fundamentals, lest an opportunity goes begging.

我們注意到分紅看起來足夠健康,所以這可能並不能解釋股價的下跌。我們喜歡遠東宏信過去三年實際上增長了營業收入。但是,我們並不清楚股價下跌的原因。或許有必要深入了解基本面,不要錯失機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SEHK:3360 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 3rd 2023
港交所代碼:3360,2013年11月3日的收入和營業收入增長

This free interactive report on Far East Horizon's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

如果您想進一步調查這隻股票,請參考我們關於遠東宏信資產負債表強度的免費互動報告。

What About Dividends?

那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Far East Horizon, it has a TSR of -14% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股票回報之間的差異。 TSR包括任何剝離或折讓的資本籌集(基於股息被重新投資的假設),以及任何股息。因此,對於支付慷慨的股息公司而言,TSR通常比股票回報高得多。就中國神威藥業集團而言,其TSR在過去5年中達到了75%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票回報。該公司支付的股息已經提高了總股東回報。總股東回報股票回報與股票價格的變化相比,總股東回報率(TSR)包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣資本募集或分拆的好處。可以說,TSR給那些支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。在遠東宏信的情況下,過去3年的TSR爲-14%。這超過了我們之前提到的股票價格回報。可以毫不費力地猜到,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了此偏離!

A Different Perspective

不同的觀點

Far East Horizon provided a TSR of 10% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 0.2% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Far East Horizon that you should be aware of.

過去12個月,遠東宏信公司提供了10%的股東總回報率(TSR)。但這低於市場平均水平。但至少這仍然是一個收益!在過去五年中,TSR每年降低了0.2%。所以這可能是一個企業改善其命運的跡象。雖然考慮到市場條件可能對股票價格產生的不同影響很值得注意,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,我們已經確定了遠東宏信的1個警告信號,您應該注意。

But note: Far East Horizon may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

但請注意:遠東宏信可能不是最好的股票購買選項。因此,請查看此自由列表,其中包括過去的盈利增長(以及更進一步的增長預測)的有趣公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?關於內容有所顧慮?直接和我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論