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Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's (SHSE:688638) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's (SHSE:688638) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

深圳宇泰智能装备(SHSE: 688638)的收益可能比你想象的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/05 19:01

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688638) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. We think that they might be concerned about some underlying details that our analysis found.

股东们似乎对深圳UTIMES智能设备有限公司并不感到兴奋。”s(上海证券交易所代码:688638)尽管利润数据良好,但最近的收益报告。我们认为,他们可能会担心我们的分析发现的一些潜在细节。

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment

查看我们对深圳UTIMES智能设备的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:688638 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2023
SHSE: 688638 2023 年 11 月 6 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's Earnings

仔细看看深圳UTIMES智能设备的收益

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

用于衡量公司将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的情况的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,而正应计比率是负数。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。

For the year to September 2023, Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment had an accrual ratio of 1.05. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥121m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥78.3m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥121m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

截至2023年9月的一年中,深圳UTIMES智能设备的应计比率为1.05。从统计学上讲,这对未来的收益来说确实是负面的。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。在过去的一年里,它实际上有 负面的 自由现金流为1.21亿元人民币,而上述利润为7,830万元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年1.21亿元的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。但是,这还不是要考虑的全部。应计比率至少部分反映了不寻常项目对法定利润的影响。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对深圳UTIMES智能设备的资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥15m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. If Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考虑到应计比率,在过去的十二个月中,价值1500万元人民币的不寻常物品提振了深圳UTIMES智能设备的利润也就不足为奇了。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。如果深圳UTIMES智能设备认为这一贡献不会重演,那么在其他条件相同的情况下,我们预计其本年度的利润将下降。

Our Take On Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's Profit Performance

我们对深圳UTIMES智能设备盈利表现的看法

Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

深圳UTIMES智能设备的应计比率较低,但其利润确实得到了不寻常项目的提振。考虑到所有这些,我们认为深圳UTIMES智能设备的利润可能给人留下了对其可持续盈利水平的过于宽厚的印象。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,深圳UTIMES智能设备有2个警告标志(其中一个很重要),我们认为你应该知道。

Our examination of Shenzhen UTIMES Intelligent Equipment has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

我们对深圳UTIMES智能设备的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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