There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at PhiChem (SZSE:300398), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on PhiChem is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.071 = CN¥355m ÷ (CN¥6.6b - CN¥1.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, PhiChem has an ROCE of 7.1%. On its own that's a low return, but compared to the average of 5.5% generated by the Chemicals industry, it's much better.
View our latest analysis for PhiChem
Above you can see how the current ROCE for PhiChem compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering PhiChem here for free.
What Does the ROCE Trend For PhiChem Tell Us?
On the surface, the trend of ROCE at PhiChem doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 14%, but since then they've fallen to 7.1%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
What We Can Learn From PhiChem's ROCE
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by PhiChem's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And with the stock having returned a mere 37% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing PhiChem, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
