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Shandong Daye's (SHSE:603278) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

Shandong Daye's (SHSE:603278) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

山東大業(SHSE: 603278)的利潤可能誇大了其真正的盈利潛力
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/05 19:41

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Shandong Daye Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603278) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

股東們似乎對山東大業有限公司並不感到興奮。”s(上海證券交易所代碼:603278)最近的收益報告,儘管利潤數字良好。我們的分析表明,他們可能會擔心一些潛在的細節。

See our latest analysis for Shandong Daye

查看我們對山東大業的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:603278 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2023
SHSE: 603278 2023 年 11 月 6 日的收益和收入歷史記錄

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不尋常物品對利潤的影響

To properly understand Shandong Daye's profit results, we need to consider the CN¥67m gain attributed to unusual items. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Shandong Daye's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

爲了正確理解山東大業的盈利業績,我們需要考慮不尋常項目帶來的6700萬元人民幣的收益。我們不能否認,更高的利潤通常使我們感到樂觀,但如果利潤是可持續的,我們更願意這樣做。當我們分析全球絕大多數上市公司時,我們發現重要的不尋常項目通常不會重演。考慮到這個名字,這並不奇怪。我們可以看到,在截至2023年9月的一年中,山東大業的正向異常項目相對於其利潤相當可觀。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤無法很好地指導潛在的盈利能力。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。

An Unusual Tax Situation

不尋常的稅收狀況

Having already discussed the impact of the unusual items, we should also note that Shandong Daye received a tax benefit of CN¥45m. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. And since it previously lost money, it may well simply indicate the realisation of past tax losses. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

在已經討論了這些不尋常項目的影響之後,我們還應該注意到,山東大業獲得了4500萬元人民幣的稅收優惠。當公司由稅務員而不是向稅務員付款時,總是值得注意的。當然, 初步證實 能獲得稅收優惠真是太好了。而且,由於它以前曾蒙受過損失,因此很可能僅表明過去的稅收損失已經實現。但是,細節的魔鬼在於,這類福利僅在預訂當年有效,而且通常是一次性的。如果稅收優惠不重演,我們預計其法定利潤水平將下降,至少在沒有強勁增長的情況下是如此。儘管我們認爲公司獲得稅收優惠是件好事,但這確實意味着法定利潤很有可能比根據一次性因素調整收入時高得多。

Our Take On Shandong Daye's Profit Performance

我們對山東大業盈利表現的看法

In its last report Shandong Daye received a tax benefit which might make its profit look better than it really is on a underlying level. And on top of that, it also saw an unusual item boost its profit, suggesting that next year might see a lower profit number, if these events are not repeated. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shandong Daye's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Be aware that Shandong Daye is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those can't be ignored...

在上一份報告中,山東大業獲得了稅收優惠,這可能會使其利潤看起來比實際水平要好。最重要的是,它還看到一個不尋常的項目提高了利潤,這表明如果這些事件不重演,明年的利潤數字可能會降低。出於上述原因,我們認爲,敷衍地看一眼山東大業的法定利潤可能會使其看起來比實際水平要好。請記住,在分析股票時,值得注意所涉及的風險。請注意,山東大業在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,其中一個不容忽視...

Our examination of Shandong Daye has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

我們對山東大業的審查側重於某些可能使其收益好於實際的因素。而且,在此基礎上,我們有些懷疑。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份免費收藏的擁有高股本回報率的公司,或者這份內部人士正在購買的股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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