Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media (SZSE:002905) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media (SZSE:002905) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Guangzhou Jinyi Media Corporation (SZSE:002905) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,廣州錦藝傳媒股份有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002905)也使用債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。考慮公司的債務水平的第一步是同時考慮其現金和債務。
Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou Jinyi Media
查看我們對廣州金易傳媒的最新分析
What Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media's Debt?
廣州金易傳媒的債務是什麼?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Guangzhou Jinyi Media had CN¥418.0m in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥498.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥80.4m.
您可以點擊下圖了解更多詳細信息,該圖表顯示,廣州金易傳媒在2023年6月的債務爲4.180億元人民幣;與前一年大致相同。但是,它確實有4.984億元人民幣的現金抵消了這一點,淨現金爲8,040萬元人民幣。
A Look At Guangzhou Jinyi Media's Liabilities
看看廣州金易傳媒的負債
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangzhou Jinyi Media had liabilities of CN¥1.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.94b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥498.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥95.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.46b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,廣州金易傳媒在一年內到期的負債爲11.12億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲29.4億元人民幣。爲了抵消這些債務,它有4.984億元人民幣的現金以及價值9,500萬元人民幣的應收賬款,將在12個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和高出34.6億元人民幣。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥3.85b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Guangzhou Jinyi Media's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Guangzhou Jinyi Media also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangzhou Jinyi Media will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
相對於其38.5億元人民幣的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注廣州金易傳媒的債務使用情況。這表明,如果公司需要迅速支撐資產負債表,股東將被大幅稀釋。儘管確實有負債值得注意,但廣州金易傳媒的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它能夠安全地管理債務。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲廣州金易傳媒需要收益來償還這筆債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
In the last year Guangzhou Jinyi Media had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.4%, to CN¥1.0b. We would much prefer see growth.
去年,廣州金易傳媒在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了3.4%,至10億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。
So How Risky Is Guangzhou Jinyi Media?
那麼,廣州金易傳媒的風險有多大?
While Guangzhou Jinyi Media lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow CN¥299m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Jinyi Media you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
儘管廣州金易傳媒在息稅前收益(EBIT)水平上虧損,但它實際上創造了2.99億元人民幣的正自由現金流。因此,儘管它處於虧損狀態,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有太大的短期資產負債表風險。由於收入增長平淡無奇,在激發人們對這項業務的熱情之前,我們確實需要看到一些正的息稅前利潤。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了兩個你應該注意的廣州金易傳媒的警告標誌,其中一個不容忽視。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
畢竟,如果你對一家資產負債表堅如磐石的快速成長型公司更感興趣,那麼請立即查看我們的淨現金增長股票清單。
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