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Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

Guangshen Railway's (HKG:525) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

广深铁路 (HKG: 525) 可观的收益可能取决于软基础
Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/06 17:02

Guangshen Railway Company Limited's (HKG:525) robust earnings report didn't manage to move the market for its stock. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

广深铁路股份有限公司(HKG: 525)强劲的收益报告未能推动其股票的市场。我们做了一些挖掘,在细节中发现了一些令人担忧的因素。

Check out our latest analysis for Guangshen Railway

查看我们对广深铁路的最新分析

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:525 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2023
香港交易所:525 收益和收入记录 2023 年 11 月 6 日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

不寻常物品对利润的影响

To properly understand Guangshen Railway's profit results, we need to consider the CN¥22m gain attributed to unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Guangshen Railway's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2023. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

为了正确理解广深铁路的盈利业绩,我们需要考虑不寻常项目带来的2200万元人民币的收益。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额贡献有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们计算数千家上市公司的数字时,我们发现,特定年份中不寻常的项目所带来的提振通常不会在第二年重演。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语的含义。我们可以看到,截至2023年9月的一年中,广深铁路的正向异常项目相对于其利润相当可观。在其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会使法定利润无法很好地指导潜在的盈利能力。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Guangshen Railway's Profit Performance

我们对广深铁路盈利表现的看法

As previously mentioned, Guangshen Railway's large boost from unusual items won't be there indefinitely, so its statutory earnings are probably a poor guide to its underlying profitability. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Guangshen Railway's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. While conducting our analysis, we found that Guangshen Railway has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore this.

如前所述,广深铁路从不寻常的项目中获得的巨大提振不会无限期地存在,因此其法定收益可能无法很好地指导其潜在的盈利能力。因此,我们认为广深铁路的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。好的一面是,该公司在去年亏损之后,表现出足够的进步,足以在今年实现盈利。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,那么除了上述因素外,还必须考虑更多因素。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。在进行分析时,我们发现广深铁路有1个警告标志,忽视这一点是不明智的。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Guangshen Railway's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解广深铁路利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以告知你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是高质量业务的好兆头。尽管可能需要代表你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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