Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Fu Shou Yuan International Group (HKG:1448) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years
Positive Earnings Growth Hasn't Been Enough to Get Fu Shou Yuan International Group (HKG:1448) Shareholders a Favorable Return Over the Last Three Years
In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it's worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Fu Shou Yuan International Group Limited (HKG:1448) shareholders, since the share price is down 32% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 16%.
爲了證明選擇個股的努力是合理的,值得努力擊敗市場指數基金的回報。但是,在任何投資組合中,都可能有一些股票未達到該基準。不幸的是,福壽源國際集團有限公司(HKG: 1448)的長期股東就是這種情況,因爲股價在過去三年中下跌了32%,遠未達到約16%的市場跌幅。
While the stock has risen 3.4% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
儘管該股在過去一週上漲了3.4%,但長期股東仍處於虧損狀態,但讓我們看看基本面能告訴我們什麼。
View our latest analysis for Fu Shou Yuan International Group
查看我們對福壽園國際集團的最新分析
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
在他的文章中 格雷厄姆和多茲維爾的超級投資者 沃倫·巴菲特描述了股價如何並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和一段時間內的股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的態度是如何隨着時間的推移而變化的。
Although the share price is down over three years, Fu Shou Yuan International Group actually managed to grow EPS by 17% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
儘管股價在三年內下跌,但在此期間,福壽源國際集團實際上設法每年將每股收益增長17%。鑑於股價反應,人們可能會懷疑每股收益並不能很好地指導該期間的業務表現(可能是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能不合理。
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
值得一看其他指標,因爲每股收益的增長似乎與股價的下跌不符。
Revenue is actually up 11% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Fu Shou Yuan International Group more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.
在過去的三年中,收入實際上增長了11%,因此股價的下跌似乎也不取決於收入。這種分析只是敷衍了事,但可能值得對福壽園國際集團進行更仔細的研究,因爲有時股市下跌不公平。這可能帶來機會。
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
公司的收入和收益(隨着時間的推移)如下圖所示(點擊查看確切數字)。
We know that Fu Shou Yuan International Group has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Fu Shou Yuan International Group stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我們知道福壽園國際集團最近的利潤有所提高,但是未來會發生什麼?如果您想買入或賣出福壽源國際集團的股票,則應查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
分紅呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Fu Shou Yuan International Group, it has a TSR of -28% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮兩者之間的區別 股東總回報 (TSR) 和 股價回報。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息已被再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以公平地說,股東總回報率爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的畫面。就福壽園國際集團而言,其過去3年的股東總回報率爲-28%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報率。因此,該公司支付的股息促進了 總 股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that Fu Shou Yuan International Group has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 18% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That certainly beats the loss of about 1.4% per year over the last half decade. The long term loss makes us cautious, but the short term TSR gain certainly hints at a brighter future. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fu Shou Yuan International Group that you should be aware of before investing here.
很高興看到福壽源國際集團在過去十二個月中向股東提供了18%的股東總回報率。當然,這包括分紅。這無疑超過了過去五年中每年約1.4%的損失。長期虧損使我們持謹慎態度,但短期股東總回報率的上漲無疑預示着更光明的未來。儘管值得考慮市場狀況可能對股價產生的不同影響,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了福壽園國際集團的1個警告信號,在這裏投資之前,你應該注意這一點。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。